You are viewing Crypto Daybook Americas, your new morning briefing on what happened in the crypto markets overnight and what's expected during the coming day. In the coming weeks, this daily update will replace the First Mover Americas newsletter, and arrive in your inbox at 7 a.m. ET to kickstart your morning with comprehensive insights. If you're not already subscribed, click here. You won't want to start your day without it. If you follow financial markets, you've probably come across the terms "risk-on" and "risk-off." Now we seem to be entering a new era of "tariffs on/tariffs off." In a risk-on environment, growth-sensitive assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies tend to rise due to expectations of economic expansion or accommodative monetary policy. Conversely, risk-off situations reflects a lack of investor confidence, leading to sell-offs and a preference for safer assets. But this week, President Trump's tariffs announcement have single-handedly guided markets. Early Monday, bitcoin (BTC) plummeted to nearly $91,000 as Canada and Mexico retaliated against Trump's tariffs. That was "tariffs on" trading. The bullish momentum ran out of steam early Tuesday as China retaliated against Trump's import tax, reviving "tariffs on" trading. BTC fell over 3% to $98,000, dragging altcoins lower. Nasdaq futures dropped over 0.5% and the dollar drew haven bids. Bitcoin and the broader crypto market will likely rebound should Trump announce an 11th-hour deal with China, just as he did with Mexico and Canada on Monday. Foreign-exchange market activity suggests that's likely. The AUD/CAD is down just 0.3% for the day, a sign traders don't expect a prolonged tariff war between the U.S. and China. (The Australian dollar is widely seen as a proxy for China). "A cross like AUD/CAD should trade sharply lower in this situation given Canada has dodged tariffs and China has not, but it is only 0.5% lower on the day. That signals markets are pricing in a good chance that the US and China will also strike a deal and delay tariffs," ING said in a note to clients. #SeputarTrading #ForexTrick