Zusammenfassung:On Monday (November 28), Beijing time, during the Asian European session, spot gold fell slightly in shock. At present, the trading volume is at 1749.11 US dollars/ounce. The rebound of the US dollar has put pressure on the gold price.
Market Review
On Monday (November 28), Beijing time, during the Asian European session, spot gold fell slightly in shock. At present, the trading volume is at 1749.11 US dollars/ounce. The rebound of the US dollar has put pressure on the gold price. However, the fear of epidemic situation has rebounded, and Asian stock markets have generally weakened, which also provides some hedge support for the gold price.
In addition, the survey shows that most analysts and retail investors still tend to be bullish on the future market of gold. Before 1735, gold prices tended to rise in shock.
However, there are many economic data and risk events this week. The Thanksgiving holiday in the United States has just ended. There is still some wait-and-see sentiment in the market, and overall trading is still subject to certain restrictions.
This trading day needs to pay attention to the speech of European Central Bank President Lagarde, New York Federal Reserve Chairman Williams, St. Louis Federal Reserve Chairman Brad, and British Prime Minister Sunak. Pay attention to the expected changes in the market for the US October non-agricultural data to be released this week and the expectation for the speech of Fed Chairman Powell.
US crude oil fell by 3.5% to US $73.83 per barrel, a new low since December 28, 2021. On the one hand, the market is increasingly worried about the Asian epidemic, which has dragged down the demand prospects. On the other hand, thousands of flights in the United States have been delayed due to bad weather, which has also dragged down oil prices. In addition, the meeting of EU government representatives originally scheduled to discuss this issue on the evening of November 25 was canceled, which means that the EU's oil price ceiling for Russia remains at 60-75 US dollars/barrel, and the Russian supply rate will not be withdrawn from the market, increasing the concern of oversupply.
This trading day focused on the epidemic related news and the performance of European and American stock markets, the speech of European Central Bank President Lagarde, the speech of New York Federal Reserve Chairman Williams, the speech of St. Louis Federal Reserve Chairman Brad, and the speech of British Prime Minister Sunak, and the expected changes in the market for the US October non-agricultural data to be released this week and the expectation for the speech of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell.
Mohicans Markets strategy is only for reference and not for investment advice. Please carefully read the statement at the end of the text. The following strategy will be updated at 15:00 on November 28, 2022 Beijing time.
Technical Analysis
Change in option layout of CME Group (Futures price in February):
1810-1815 Bullish increased significantly, bearish remained unchanged, long target
1800 Bullish sharply reduced, bearish unchanged, resistance level
1780 Bullish increased, bearish slightly increased, long and short target
1760 Bullish and bearish increased significantly, long short game and resistance level
1730-1745 Bullish and bearish increased significantly, long short game and support position
Order flow key point marking (spot price):
1766 long and short boundary
1760-1761 Intraday resistance
1757 May be the ASEM resistance
1748-1750 ASEM support
1743-44 First support position
1736 Mid-line support position
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on November 28. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Change of CME Group's option layout
21.85-22 Bullish increased, bearish unchanged, long target
21.75 Both bullish and bearish remain unchanged, resistance level
21.3 Bullish unchanged, bearish increased, resistance level
21.2 Both bullish and bearish remain unchanged, support position
Order flow key point marking (spot price):
21.8 Key resistance
21.66 Intraday resistance
21.3 Asian Market resistance level
21 Asia and Europe market support
20.8 Intraday support
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on November 28. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
CME Group options layout changes (January Futures Price):
82 Bullish increased, bearish decreased slightly, previous long target and resistance
80 Bullish increased sharply, bearish decreased sharply but the stock was large, resistance weakened
77 Bullish increased sharply, bearish decreased, short-term long target
75 Bullish increased sharply, bearish decreased sharply but the stock was large, support turned resistance
73 Bullish increased slightly, bearish increased sharply, short target
70 Bullish increased slightly, bearish increased sharply and the stock was large, short target
Order flow key point marking (January Futures Price):
84.5 Second resistance during the week
82-82.5 First resistance
79.5-80 The medium-term long and short boundary, after the station is expected to resume the upper action
78.8 Last Friday's volume point
77 The previous retracement of the level into resistance
75-75.3 Yesterday's rally low + September low, which is expected to form a daily double bottom and strong support in the medium term
74 Second target for bears and key support, last November double bottom neckline
73 Medium-term short target for options bets
70 Strong support at the round number mark, but bearish options are also increasing bets for a possible intense shakeout
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on November 28. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Todays CME Group data:
1.05 Bullish increased and the stock was large, bearish increased slightly, long target and resistance
1.045 Bullish increased, bearish increased, rebound target and resistance
1.04 Bullish decreased, bearish increased sharply, resistance
1.035 Bullish increased slightly, bearish increased, short-side strength
1.03 Bullish decreased slightly and the stock was large, bearish increased, fallback target and support
1.025 Bullish unchanged, bearish increased, short target
1.02 Bullish decreased, bearish decreased sharply but the stock was large, next short target
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on November 28. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Todays CME Group data:
1.225 Bullish increased slightly, bearish unchanged, next long target
1.22 Bullish increased, bearish unchanged, long target
1.215 Bullish decreased slightly, bearish unchanged, resistance
1.21 Bullish increased and the stock was large, bearish increased slightly, rebound target and resistance
1.205 Bullish unchanged but the stock was large, bearish increased, support
1.195 Bullish unchanged but the stock was large, bearish unchanged, next support
1.19 Bullish unchanged, bearish increased slightly, short target
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on November 28. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
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