Zusammenfassung:It is very potential to predict the direction of the economy, Important economic indicators are leading in nature that are often noticed are ranging.
The economic indicators in Forex market are varied. Experts and analysts always talk about the direction of the economy based on readings of these essential aspects, and that is indeed their job.
However, as you know, sometimes their predictions are wrong. For example, the head of the Fed Ben Bernanke in 2007 once predicted that the United States would not experience a recession.
At the time, he said that the stock and housing markets were very promising. However, Bernanke's estimate turned out to be erroneous.
Because the predictions of experts are not always correct, it is important for us as market participants to understand and pay attention to economic indicators in forex.
It is very potential to predict the direction of the economy, Important economic indicators are leading in nature that are often noticed are ranging. Here are some of those types.
1.Stock Market
Although stock market is not the most important indicator, the stock price index is the first thing market participants see to find out the current economic development.
The share price reflects the expectation of acquiring state-owned enterprises and private companies as one of the actors who control the direction of the economy.
If stock prices (especially Blue-Chips stocks) rise, then the income of economic actors will increase. That will make overall economic growth is expected to rise.
2.Manufacturing Activities
This one of the important economic indicators in forex will affect growth or GDP (Gross Domestic Product). Increased manufacturing activity will indicate rising demand, ultimately moving the wheels of the economy.
In addition, rapidly increasing manufacturing activity signals economic expansion, resulting in an increase in labor, and an increase in people's income. The demand for manufactured products is not only from within the country.
However, it also from trading partner countries. Therefore, increased manufacturing activity can also affect the country's export volume, and ultimately have an impact on the trade balance.
3.Inventory Level
Next essential economic indicators in forex are related to inventory level. At the first possibility, inventory is deliberately augmented in anticipation of increasing demand.
If it is in line with forecasts, then a high level of inventory of goods will increase the profits of distributors and manufacturers, thereby having a positive impact on the economy.
Conversely, if the second possibility occurs, then the supply exceeds the demand. In addition to causing a decrease in the price of goods, storage and operational costs can be detrimental to distributors and producers.
These two possibilities can also be known from changes in retail sales indicators (Retail Sales) and consumer confidence indexes.
4.Housing Market
The decline in housing prices is a correction of housing market inflation, due to price bubbles. If the housing market is sluggish, it will have a negative impact on the economy.
It becomes one of the important economic indicators in forex because the wealth of homeowners will be reduced due to falling prices. In addition, the labor force in the construction and marketing of houses or buildings will decrease.
Those cause an increase in the unemployment rate. Government revenue from housing and building taxes will also be reduced. This will have an impact on the government's fiscal condition.
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