IndustryIn the economic outlook, the Federal Reserve lower

In the economic outlook, the Federal Reserve lowered its forecast for the core PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index) in the United States this year from 3.7% to 3.2%, and raised its forecast for economic growth from 2.1% to 2.6%, while maintaining the unemployment rate at 3.8%. Several chief investment officers of international asset management institutions interviewed by reporters said that the US election will be held next year. Generally speaking, it is difficult for monetary and fiscal policies to tighten in an election year. On the one hand, there is the hope of maintaining a soft landing of the economy, and on the other hand, the inflation rate has begun to decline. It is difficult for Fed Chairman Powell to hold back, and the Fed does not need to wait until the core PCE reaches the 2% target value before taking action.#CommunityAMA

FX1291014411

2025-06-27 02:51

IndustryChicago Fed President Goolsbee said at a public ev

the Fed may restart the process of cutting interest rates, although he did not make it clear when to take action. Goolsbee pointed out: "Surprisingly, as of now, we have seen three consecutive months of stable inflation data without a significant increase." He emphasized that if the impact of tariffs continues to be mild, "then in my opinion, we have never deviated from what I call the 'golden path', that is, the healthy track of the US economy before the introduction of tariffs." He further stated: "If the dust has settled, then we should continue to advance the previous monetary policy path." This remark suggests that if inflation remains under control in the future, the Fed may resume the previously suspended interest rate cut cycle.#VeteranIBSuccessStory#CommunityAMA

FX1087919468

2025-06-27 02:48

IndustryThe Bank of England's decision is closely related

The Bank of England's decision is closely related to the Fed's policy path. On June 18, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, lowered its growth forecast for 2025 and raised its inflation forecast, showing its vigilance against inflation. The Bank of England cut interest rates in sync with the Fed (both cut 100 basis points cumulatively), but the market expects the Fed to cut another 50 basis points this year, while the Bank of England may only cut 25-50 basis points, reflecting the divergence of the inflation and growth environments of the two countries. The inflation pressure in the UK (3.4%) is higher than that in the United States (about 2.6%), but the economic weakness is even greater, forcing the central bank to strike a difficult balance between fighting inflation and preventing recession.#VeteranIBSuccessStory#CommunityAMA

FX1265283569

2025-06-27 02:44

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