China: Easing case strengthens on weak PMIs – Commerzbank
Commerzbank‘s Dr. Henry Hao argues that two months of broad Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) contraction leave China’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth tracking below the official 4.5%-5.0% target, intensifying pressure on Beijing.
31.08.26 Daily Forecast
Pairs on Watch - FX:EURJPY : We can see the higher timeframe is still committing to the upside and the overall recovery of the volatility to the left. Price is building a clear 4H structure and we have a range to work with, three drives into the base as well which is a nice confluence. I am looking for a simple insurance entry from here, clear 1H push followed by a lower timeframe continuation and manage into the top of the range FX:USDCHF : This pair looks very similar to the DXY which …
Singapore Dollar: Near-term pressure against US Dollar - OCBC
OCBCs Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong say the Singapore Dollar (SGD) slipped as the broad Dollar rebounded after Jackson Hole, but still retains relative resilience thanks to the S$NEER policy and firm domestic fundamentals.
Gold slips as Warsh Fed hike bets, Oil rally lift US yields
Gold (XAU/USD) price retreats some 0.40% on Monday after last Friday's hawkish remarks by Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Kevin Warsh, which sparked speculation of a possible rate hike at the September meeting.
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD consolidates below 100-Day SMA as momentum fades
Silver (XAG/USD) is little changed on Monday, caught between a weaker US Dollar (USD) and lingering hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations, leaving the metal without clear direction after tumbling 4.11% on Friday in the wake of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole comments.
Australian Dollar holds firm amid hawkish Fed and RBA expectations
AUD/USD trades in a narrow range on Monday as markets weigh hawkish expectations from both the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and Federal Reserve (Fed). At the time of writing, the pair trades around 0.7167, with a modest pullback in the US Dollar (USD) helping cushion the downside.
Euro: Limited downside, range defined against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report the Euro (EUR) is fractionally higher versus the US Dollar (USD), stabilizing after recent losses and attempting a modest recovery from upper-1.15 lows.
Forex Today: Attention shifts to US ISM, JOLTs and inflation in Europe
The US Dollar (USD) has faded part of Fridays strong advance despite the geopolitical landscape seeming to have deteriorated a tad in the last few days, while market participants appear to have already digested the hawkish remarks from Chair Warsh in Jackson Hole.
British Pound edges higher as USD softens ahead US jobs data
The Pound Sterling (GBP) advances during the North American session on Monday, up a modest 0.09%, as the US Dollar (USD) edges lower despite last Fridays hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Kevin Warsh, ahead of a packed week of economic data from the United States (US).
Euro holds modest gains as US Dollar lacks momentum, Eurozone inflation in focus
EUR/USD holds modest gains on Monday during American trading hours as the US Dollar (USD) struggles to build on Fridays strength, which followed hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Kevin Warsh at the Jackson Hole Symposium.
Bank of Canada: Tariffs reshape rate risks – NBC
National Bank of Canada's (NBC) Taylor Schleich and Ethan Currie expect the Bank of Canada (BoC) to keep its overnight rate at 2.25% and maintain current balance sheet policy.
Japanese Yen: BoJ normalization expectations and contained moves – BNY
Wee Khoon Chong at BNY reports strong Japanese macro data and resilient housing and commerce indicators, supporting the narrative that Japan has exited deflation and Bank of Japan (BoJ) normalization remains in play.
Federal Reserve: Warshs hawkish shift reshapes rate outlook – Rabobank
Rabobank‘s Elwin de Groot discusses Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech and its impact on US rates. He notes that Warsh signalled dissatisfaction with recent inflation and openness to further hikes, lifting near-term rate expectations while lowering longer-term premia.
Germany flash HICP growth remains slower than expected at 2.9% in August
Preliminary Germany Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data for August arrives at 2.9% Year-on-Year (YoY), lower than estimates of 3.1%, but higher than the previous reading of 2.8%. On a monthly basis, inflation data grew by 0.2%, slower than 0.3% estimates and the prior release of 0.9%.
Gold consolidates after sharp decline as higher-for-longer Fed outlook weighs
Gold (XAU/USD) fluctuates between gains and losses on Monday after opening the week lower and briefly falling below $4,400, its lowest level since August 19, during Asian trading hours. The metal retains a near-term bearish bias as hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations keep buyers cautious.
New Zealand Dollar steady above 0.5900 as traders eye RBNZ, Fed
NZD/USD trades around 0.5910 on Monday, virtually unchanged on the day at the time of writing. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) retains some support from improving Chinese activity data, but the move remains limited as investors prepare for the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) decision on Wednesday.
US Dollar: Jobs data to test hawkish Fed repricing - BNY
BNY‘s Geoff Yu highlights that recent U.S. inflation data left the macro narrative intact, but Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech pushed markets to reprice September hike odds and lifted the Dollar. The focus now shifts to U.S.
EURJPY LONG
The EURJPY cross is expected to face short-term consolidation with a slight bearish tilt early this week, capped by a formidable psychological resistance barrier at 186.00. The 186.00 Resistance Wall: Multi-day attempts to close definitively above 186.00 – 186.05 have been rejected. A clean daily close above this structural barrier is required to trigger a continuation toward June highs at 186.30 and Fibonacci targets at 187.35
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD steadies near $4.400 lows amid rising Fed tightening bets
Gold (XAU/USD) shows marginal gains on Monday, with price action hovering around $4.450 at the time of writing yet unable to take off from last weeks lows in the $4,400 area after depreciating more than 4% late last week.
Bank of England chief warns new AI models threaten global financial stability
Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey has warned that frontier AI could materially increase cyber risks to the global financial system.
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