Abstract:The markets slumped this morning amid fears of a recession. Who is stoking the fire, and what does this mean for the markets?
The markets slumped this morning amid fears of a recession. Who is stoking the fire, and what does this mean for the markets?
Powell Testifies
Yesterday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell began his testimony in front of Congress. The main headline to come from this was decided when Jerome Powell admitted a recession is possible. As a result, a wave of fear flooded the markets as the likelihood of a hard landing increased once more.
This has resulted in very choppy price action over night,with U.S indices like the NASDAQ100 struggling to find any clear direction. Since yesterday, this market has swung by around 400 points, highlighting the strong volatility. Has “max hawkishness” been priced in?
UK hits new 40-year inflation high
Meanwhile, news over in the UK didnt look any brighter. In fact, the UK released its Consumer Price Index report yesterday and it showed a new 40-year high in inflation. The figure came in at an eye-watering 9.1%, with food and energy prices once again stealing the show.
The biggest loser to come from this news is the Pound, which continues to look weaker by the day. With the downtrend confirmed, traders will have their eyes on the low at 1.21600 to be the next key level of support. If the price breaks below here, GBPUSD could be heading back towards the 1.21000 level.
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This week has been a volatile one from forex to commodities. Tuesday’s CPI and Wednesday’s PPI reports told traders that US inflation is on the march (again), and interest rates are heading higher. Will the chaos continue?
Inflation has dominated the markets so far this year, with staggering Consumer Price Index figures being released all over the world. This week’s attention turns to the most volatile CPI release in the economic calendar this month, U.S CPI.
With Europe set to tighten monetary policy dramatically today along with the Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s press conference, risk assets are showing some fight. The question is how long can this last?
This week all eyes the attention has shifted to critical news events coming out of the UK and US. Read our week ahead article today and find out Connor Woods’ opinion on this week’s events.