Abstract:In early Asian trading on Monday (October 31) Beijing time, spot gold fell slightly in shock, and the current trading volume is around 1642 US dollars/ounce. The US consumer spending growth in September released last week exceeded expectations, while the core inflation pressure is still high, basically locking in the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates by 75 basis points this week.
Market Overview
In early Asian trading on Monday (October 31) Beijing time, spot gold fell slightly in shock, and the current trading volume is around 1642 US dollars/ounce. The US consumer spending growth in September released last week exceeded expectations, while the core inflation pressure is still high, basically locking in the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates by 75 basis points this week. Moreover, the market's expectation of the Federal Reserve's slowing down interest rate increase in December has slightly cooled, which provides support for the yield of the US dollar and Treasury yield. The position of gold ETF fell further, and the short-term gold price faced further downside risks, focusing on the support near the 1620 mark.
US crude oil fell in shock. At present, the trading volume is around US $87.00/barrel. The market is more worried about the COVID-19 epidemic. The demand for crude oil is expected to be suppressed, which will drag down oil prices. Investors need to beware of the risk of oil prices falling back.
On this trading day, pay attention to the performance of GDP data in the third quarter of the euro area, the Chicago PMI data of the United States in October, the market's expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate resolution, the ISM purchasing managers' index of the United States in October, and the relevant news of the geographical situation.
Mohicans Markets strategy is only for reference and not for investment advice. Please carefully read the statement at the end of the text. The following strategy will be updated at 15:00 on October 31, 2022 Beijing time.
Technical analysis
Changes of CME Group's option layout (futures price in December):
1675 Bullish increased significantly, bearish decreased, the first target of bulls and strong resistance
1660 Bullish slightly increased, bearish slightly increased, resistance level
1650 Bullish increased, bearish increased, short-term positive force
1630 Bullish slightly increased, bearish slightly decreased and the stock was large, with support level
1600-1610 Bullish unchanged, bearish sharply increased, short target range
Order flow key point marking (spot price):
1657 Secondary resistance, long and short boundary before Wednesday (critical)
1652-1653 First key resistance
1645 Resistance (short line - relatively weak)
1637-1638 Key support of the trend, breaking down the trend of return to decline
1619-1624 Important support near the front low
1600 Short target
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on October 31. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Changes of CME Group's option layout (futures price in December):
20 Bullish increased significantly and the stock was large. Bearish market remained unchanged. The second target of the bulls was also the resistance.
19.75 Bullish slightly increased, bearish unchanged, first target of bulls and resistance
19.5 Bullish decreased, bearish slightly increased, key resistance
19.45 Bullish increased, bearish increased, short-term resistance
19-19.05 Bullish increased, bearish increased, key support
18.5 Bullish slightly increased, bearish slightly decreased, the first support after breaking down
Order flow key point marking (spot price):
19.7 Third resistance
19.42 Second resistance
19.3 First resistance
18.9-19 Key support
18.6 Short term support
18-18.3 Important support area
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on October 31. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Order flow key point marking (December Futures Price):
95-95.5 Bullish increase sharply, bearish unchanged, long target
92-92.5 bullish increase sharply, bearish unchanged, long target
90 Bullish increase sharply, bearish decrease, long target
87 Bullish increase sharply, bearish decrease, key support level
85 Bullish decrease slightly, bearish decrease sharply, support level
82.5-83 Bullish unchanged, bearish increase sharply, short target
Order flow key point marking:
91.6 Third resistance
89.8-90 Second resistance
88.6 Long-short boundary, short term resistance
87 Short-term key support area
86 Second support
83.8 Short-term upside key support
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on October 31. The strategy is a daytime strategy, please note the strategy release time.
CME Group options layout changes:
1.01 Bullish increase sharply and the stock is large, bearish unchanged, long target
1.005 Bullish increase sharply, bearish unchanged, rebound target
1.00 Bullish increase sharply and the stock is large, bearish increase sharply but the stock is large, long and short contention
0.995 Bullish unchanged but the stock is large, bearish increase, support level
0.99 Bullish unchanged, bearish increase and the stock is large, fall back target and support
0.985 Bullish slightly increase, bearish increase and the stock is large, short target and support
0.98 Bullish slightly decrease, bearish sharply increase and the stock is large, next short target,short target and support
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on October 31. The strategy is a daytime strategy, please note the strategy release time.
CME Group options layout changes:
1.175 Bullish slightly increase, bearish unchanged, next long target
1.17 Bullish increase and the stock is large, bearish unchanged, long target
1.165 Bullish slightly increase and the stock is large, bearish increase, rebound target and resistance
1.16 Bullish slightly increase, bearish slightly increase, the first resistance
1.155 Bullish unchanged but the stock is large, bearish slightly increase, fall back target and support
1.15 Bullish decrease slightly, bearish slightly decrease but the stock is large, next fall back target and support
1.145 Bullish unchanged, bearish slightly decrease, support level
1.14 Bullish increase, bearish increase, short target and support
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on October 31. The strategy is a daytime strategy, please note the strategy release time.
Statement|Disclaimer
Disclaimer: The information contained in this material is for general advice only. It does not take into account your investment goals, financial situation or special needs. We have made every effort to ensure the accuracy of the information as of the date of publication. MHMarkets makes no warranties or representations about this material. The examples in this material are for illustration only. To the extent permitted by law, MHMarkets and its employees shall not be liable for any loss or damage arising in any way, including negligence, from any information provided or omitted from this material. The features of MHMarkets products, including applicable fees and charges, are outlined in the product disclosure statements available on the MHMarkets website. Derivatives can be risky and losses can exceed your initial payment. MHMarkets recommends that you seek independent advice.
Mohicans Markets, (Abbreviation: MHMarkets or MHM, Chinese name: Maihui), Australian Financial Services License No. 001296777.
Spot gold weakened slightly during the Asian session on Thursday (April 6), hitting a two-day low of $2007.89 per ounce and now trading near $2014.15. A series of weak economic data has fueled fears of an impending recession in the US, giving safe-haven support to the dollar. And some dollar shorts took profits, and gold bulls also took profits ahead of Good Friday and the non-farm payrolls data, putting pressure on gold prices.
On Wednesday, as the less-than-expected March "ADP" data and non-manufacturing PMI data fueled market concerns about an economic slowdown and spurred bets that the Federal Reserve could slow interest rate hikes. Spot gold continued to brush a new high since March last year, which was the highest intraday to $2032.13 per ounce, and then retracted most of the day's gains, finally closing up 0.01% at $2020.82 per ounce; spot silver hovered around $25 during the day, finally closing down 0.21% at $2
Spot gold oscillated slightly lower during the Asian session on Tuesday (April 4) and is currently trading around $1980.13 per ounce. The dollar index rebounded mildly after a big drop overnight, putting pressure on gold prices. However, this week will see the non-farm payrolls report, there is no important economic data out on Tuesday, and the market wait-and-see sentiment is getting stronger.
On Monday, in OPEC + members unexpectedly cut production reignited market concerns about long-term inflation and sparked uncertainty about the Fed's response, the dollar index once up to the 103 mark, and then on a "vertical roller coaster", giving back all the gains of the day and once lost 102 mark, finally closed down 0.53% at 102.04; U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose and then fell, as data showed that the U.S. economy continues to slow, it fell sharply in the U.S. session, and once to a low