Abstract:On Tuesday, November 8, Beijing time, spot gold shock slightly down in early trading of Asian market, and is currently trading at $ 1668.80 per ounce; the dollar rebounded mildly, making gold prices under slight pressure.
Market Overview
On Tuesday, November 8, Beijing time, spot gold shock slightly down in early trading of Asian market, and is currently trading at $ 1668.80 per ounce; the dollar rebounded mildly, making gold prices under slight pressure; in the U.S. mid-term election results are about to be released, the market wait-and-see sentiment is thick, the overall trading is not much; surveys show that the Republican Party won both the House and Senate probability of nearly 70%, which may bring trouble to Biden's remaining term, and is slightly negative for the dollar and positive for gold prices.
U.S. crude oil is in a narrow range and is currently trading near $91.37 per barrel. The Group of Seven (G7) plans to set a price cap on Russian oil, which could cause disruptions to Russian oil exports;In addition, OPEC+production reduction is encouraging more hedge funds to establish bullish positions in the crude oil market. The rise in US stocks overnight also slightly supported oil prices. However, oil's failure to top its October 10 high near 93.63 helped, with some profit-taking by bulls, dragging prices down for now.
However, this week will also usher the U.S. CPI data for October; market is expected to be slightly lower than the September performance, but it is still very strong; some investors are concerned that if the U.S. CPI data is higher than expected, it will lead to a hawkish shift in Fed expectations, which in turn is not good for gold prices. In addition, according to the usual, the Fed interest rate resolution after a week, the Fed officials will be one after another public speech. The market is expected to Fed officials may further strengthen the December slowdown in interest rate hike part of the expectations, so investors need to be concerned.
This trading day need to pay attention to the U.S. mid-term elections and the changes in the U.S. API crude oil inventory data. Currently, the market is expected to favor the stock market in the mid-term elections, which is expected to provide support to oil prices; the market is expected to increase U.S. crude oil inventories, but gasoline and refined oil inventories will decline.
Mohicans Markets strategy is only for reference and not for investment advice. Please carefully read the statement at the end of the text. The following strategy will be updated at 15:00 on November 8, 2022 Beijing time.
Technical Analysis
CME Group options layout changes (December Futures Price):
1720 Bullish increased sharply, bearish decrease slightly, long target
1700 Bullish increased sharply, bearish increased, long target, resistance level
1685-1690 Bullish increased, bearish decreased slightly, long target
1675-1680 Bullish increased, bearish increased, long and short contention, key range
1650 Bullish increased slightly, bearish increased and the stock is large, short target
1640 Bullish increased slightly, bearish increased, short target, support level
Order flow key point marking (Spot Price):
1730 Long target level, trend key strong resistance
1707 Resistance level
1694-1700 Key positive force
1682 First resistance level, more critical in the short term
1667 The first major support level during the day
1661 Support position after non-farm payrolls rally, support level
1652 Starting level of non-farm payrolls, support is strong
1641-1644 Support is critical
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on November 8. The strategy is a daytime strategy, please note the strategy release time.
CME Group options layout changes (December Futures Price):
21.5 Bullish decreased sharply, bearish unchanged, upside momentum weakened
21.15 Bullish increased, bearish increased slightly, long target
21 Bullish increased slightly, bearish increased, long target, resistance
20.75 Bullish decreased slightly, bearish increased, resistance
20.6 Bullish increased, bearish increased slightly, support
20.50 Bullish decreased sharply, bearish increased, support weakened
20.35 Bullish unchanged, bearish increased, short target
20 Bullish decreased sharply, bearish increased, short target
Order flow key point marking (Spot Price):
21.5 focus level of call option
21.25 Previous High
21 Key resistance
20.60 Short-term support, Asian and European markets can first focus on the performance of support
20.38 Key support level during the day
20.28 Support position after non-farm, which is expected to have support
20 Key support level, support level doe's not fall which is expected to continue to move up
19.7 Third support
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on November 8. The strategy is a daytime strategy, please note the strategy release time.
Change of CME Group's option layout (futures price in December):
99 Bullish increased significantly and stocks were large, bearish unchanged, long target
96 Bullish sharply reduced, bearish unchanged, resistance level
95 Bullish decreased significantly and stocks were large, bearish decreased slightly, key resistance
92.5 Bullish and bearish increased significantly, and long and short competed for positions
90 Bullish increased significantly but stocks were large, bearish increased significantly and stocks were large, short target
85 Bullish slightly increased, but stocks were large, while bearish sharply decreased, with support level
Order flow key point marking (spot price):
97-98 Front high resistance zone
95 Key resistance
92.5-93.5 Strong resistance area
91.6 Short line support
90.4-90.7 Key supports for the day
89.8-90 Key support zone of trend
87.5-87.8 Key support of this round
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on November 8. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Change of CME Group's option layout (futures price in December):
1.015 Bullish slightly decreased but the stock was large, bearish slightly increased, the next bull target and resistance
1.01 Bullish slightly reduced, but the stock was large, while bearish slightly increased, and the bull target was also positive
1.05 Bullish increased, put option unchanged, rebound target
1.00 Bullish increased and large stock, bearish decreased, the first support
0.995 Bullish slightly increased, bearish slightly decreased, next support
0.99 Bullish slightly increased, bearish significantly increased and stocks were large, short target
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on November 8. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Change of CME Group's option layout (futures price in December):
1.165 Bullish increased and large stock, bearish unchanged, next long target
1.16 Bullish increased significantly and stocks were large, while bearish increased slightly, long target
1.155 Bullish unchanged, but the stock was large, and bearish slightly reduced, the next rebound target and resistance
1.15 Bullish increased and large stock, bearish increased, rebound target and resistance
1.145 Bullish slightly reduced, bearish slightly reduced, support level
1.14 Bullish slightly reduced, bearish slightly reduced, next support
1.135 Bullish unchanged, bearish sharply increased, short target
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on November 8. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Statement|Disclaimer
Disclaimer: The information contained in this material is for general advice only. It does not take into account your investment goals, financial situation or special needs. We have made every effort to ensure the accuracy of the information as of the date of publication. MHMarkets makes no warranties or representations about this material. The examples in this material are for illustration only. To the extent permitted by law, MHMarkets and its employees shall not be liable for any loss or damage arising in any way, including negligence, from any information provided or omitted from this material. The features of MHMarkets products, including applicable fees and charges, are outlined in the product disclosure statements available on the MHMarkets website. Derivatives can be risky and losses can exceed your initial payment. MHMarkets recommends that you seek independent advice.
Mohicans Markets, (Abbreviation: MHMarkets or MHM, Chinese name: Maihui), Australian Financial Services License No. 001296777.
Spot gold weakened slightly during the Asian session on Thursday (April 6), hitting a two-day low of $2007.89 per ounce and now trading near $2014.15. A series of weak economic data has fueled fears of an impending recession in the US, giving safe-haven support to the dollar. And some dollar shorts took profits, and gold bulls also took profits ahead of Good Friday and the non-farm payrolls data, putting pressure on gold prices.
On Wednesday, as the less-than-expected March "ADP" data and non-manufacturing PMI data fueled market concerns about an economic slowdown and spurred bets that the Federal Reserve could slow interest rate hikes. Spot gold continued to brush a new high since March last year, which was the highest intraday to $2032.13 per ounce, and then retracted most of the day's gains, finally closing up 0.01% at $2020.82 per ounce; spot silver hovered around $25 during the day, finally closing down 0.21% at $2
Spot gold oscillated slightly lower during the Asian session on Tuesday (April 4) and is currently trading around $1980.13 per ounce. The dollar index rebounded mildly after a big drop overnight, putting pressure on gold prices. However, this week will see the non-farm payrolls report, there is no important economic data out on Tuesday, and the market wait-and-see sentiment is getting stronger.
On Monday, in OPEC + members unexpectedly cut production reignited market concerns about long-term inflation and sparked uncertainty about the Fed's response, the dollar index once up to the 103 mark, and then on a "vertical roller coaster", giving back all the gains of the day and once lost 102 mark, finally closed down 0.53% at 102.04; U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose and then fell, as data showed that the U.S. economy continues to slow, it fell sharply in the U.S. session, and once to a low