Abstract:On Friday, February 10, international gold prices continued to move lower and hit a new low since Jan. 6 to $1,852.61 per ounce. The dollar tried to benefit from the Fed's hawkish comments as investors remained wary of the Fed's upcoming rate hike. Investors also expect that the Fed will eventually raise interest rates to more than 5%.
Market Overview
On Friday, February 10, international gold prices continued to move lower and hit a new low since Jan. 6 to $1,852.61 per ounce. The dollar tried to benefit from the Fed's hawkish comments as investors remained wary of the Fed's upcoming rate hike. Investors also expect that the Fed will eventually raise interest rates to more than 5%.
U.S. crude oil is in a narrow range, and is currently trading near $77.82 per barrel. The bottoming out of the U.S. dollar in the last session pressured oil prices, and the rise in U.S. crude inventories to their highest level since June 2021 also continued to weigh on the morale of bulls. However, expectations of a strong recovery in Chinese fuel demand still provided support to oil prices.
Analysts say the U.S. inflation data due out on Feb. 14 will be key to risk sentiment and the direction of the dollar. Short-term oil prices are biased towards a shaky run, and are still biased to the upside after the shock, considering the previous Saudi Arabia raised the official selling price of Arabian Light crude to Asian buyers in March.
This trading day, you need to pay attention to the preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index for February, the preliminary University of Michigan One-Year Inflation Rate Expectations for February and changes in the U.S. crude oil drilling data, pay attention to the geopolitical situation related news.
Mohicans Markets strategy is only for reference and not for investment advice. Please carefully read the statement at the end of the text. The following strategy will be updated at 15:00 on February 10, 2023, Beijing time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1833-1856-1883-1900
Overall Oscillation Range: 1730-1756-1780-1801-1817-1833-1856-1883-1903-1911-1929-1937-1951-1978-1985
In the subsequent period of spot gold, 1833-1856-1883-1900 can be operated as the bull and bear range; High throw low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 10. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 21.5-22.3-23.1-23.9
Overall Oscillation Range: 20.6-21.5-22.3-23.1-23.9-24.5-25.3-26.1
In the subsequent period of spot silver, 21.5-22.3-23.1-23.9 can be operated as the bull and bear range. High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 10. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 73.8-75.1-77.9-78.5-79.9
Overall Oscillation Range:
70.1-71.2-72.3-73.1-73.8-75.1-77.9-78.5-79.9-80.7-82.3-83.5-85.3
In the subsequent period of US crude oil, 73.8-75.1-77.9-78.5-79.9 can be operated as the bull and bear range. High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 10. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1.0690-1.0755-1.0830-1.0950
Overall Oscillation Range: 1.0290-1.0360-1.0460-1.0570-1.0690-1.0755-1.0830-1.0950-1.1157-1.1220-1.1303
In the subsequent period of EURUSD, 1.0570-1.0690-1.0755-1.0830-1.0950 can be operated as the bull and bear range. High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 10. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1.1920-1.2030-1.2135-1.2250-1.2375
Overall Oscillation Range: 1.1610-1.1830-1.1920-1.2030-1.2135-1.2250-1.2375-1.2400-1.2470-1.2550
In the subsequent period of GBPUSD, 1.1920-1.2030-1.2135-1.2250-1.2375 can be operated as the bull and bear range. High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 10. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Spot gold weakened slightly during the Asian session on Thursday (April 6), hitting a two-day low of $2007.89 per ounce and now trading near $2014.15. A series of weak economic data has fueled fears of an impending recession in the US, giving safe-haven support to the dollar. And some dollar shorts took profits, and gold bulls also took profits ahead of Good Friday and the non-farm payrolls data, putting pressure on gold prices.
On Wednesday, as the less-than-expected March "ADP" data and non-manufacturing PMI data fueled market concerns about an economic slowdown and spurred bets that the Federal Reserve could slow interest rate hikes. Spot gold continued to brush a new high since March last year, which was the highest intraday to $2032.13 per ounce, and then retracted most of the day's gains, finally closing up 0.01% at $2020.82 per ounce; spot silver hovered around $25 during the day, finally closing down 0.21% at $2
Spot gold oscillated slightly lower during the Asian session on Tuesday (April 4) and is currently trading around $1980.13 per ounce. The dollar index rebounded mildly after a big drop overnight, putting pressure on gold prices. However, this week will see the non-farm payrolls report, there is no important economic data out on Tuesday, and the market wait-and-see sentiment is getting stronger.
On Monday, in OPEC + members unexpectedly cut production reignited market concerns about long-term inflation and sparked uncertainty about the Fed's response, the dollar index once up to the 103 mark, and then on a "vertical roller coaster", giving back all the gains of the day and once lost 102 mark, finally closed down 0.53% at 102.04; U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose and then fell, as data showed that the U.S. economy continues to slow, it fell sharply in the U.S. session, and once to a low