Abstract:During the Asian session, the rebound of spot gold was blocked. It had rebounded to around $1842.5 before, and now dropped to around $1836. Although some bargain-hunting and safe-haven buying supported the gold price, recent economic data boosted the bet that the Federal Reserve would further raise interest rates to combat high inflation.
Market Overview
During the Asian session, the rebound of spot gold was blocked. It had rebounded to around $1842.5 before, and now dropped to around $1836. Although some bargain-hunting and safe-haven buying supported the gold price, recent economic data boosted the bet that the Federal Reserve would further raise interest rates to combat high inflation. The gold price was significantly hit, from the technical perspective, bearish signal was further strengthened, and the short-term gold price still faced further downside risks.
Investors will need to watch for changes in U.S. jobless claims and January PPI data this session.
US crude oil rose in shock and is currently trading at around $79.25/barrel. Considering the data adjustment, the market has ignored the large increase in US crude oil inventory, and the International Energy Agency (IEA) has also raised the demand outlook after OPEC. The technical signal is also slightly biased towards the bulls, and the oil price is expected to hit the resistance near the 100-day average of 81.04 again in the short term.
This trading day needs to pay attention to the changes in the number of US initial jobless claims change and the performance of the US PPI data in January. In addition, we also need to pay attention to the speeches made by the officials of the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank and the related news of the geopolitical situation.
The Mohicans Markets strategy is for reference only and not for investment advice. Please read the statement clauses at the end of the text carefully. The following strategy was updated at 15:00 Beijing time on February 16, 2023.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1817-1833-1856-1883
Overall Oscillation Range: 1730-1756-1780-1801-1817-1833-1856-1883-1903-1911-1929-1937-1951-1978-1985
In the subsequent period of spot gold,
1817-1833-1856-1883 can be operated as the bull and bear range; High throw low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 16. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 20.9-21.5-22.3-23.1
Overall Oscillation Range: 20.9-21.5-22.3-23.1-23.9-24.5-25.3-26.1
In the subsequent period of spot silver, 20.9-21.5-22.3-23.1 can be operated as the bull and bear range. High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 16. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 75.1-77.9-78.5-79.9-80.7
Overall Oscillation Range: 70.1-71.2-72.3-73.1-73.8-75.1-77.9-78.5-79.9-80.7-82.3-83.5-85.3
In the subsequent period of US crude oil, 75.1-77.9-78.5-79.9-80.7 can be operated as the bull and bear range. High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 16. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1.0570-1.0690-1.0755-1.0830-1.0950
Overall Oscillation Range: 1.0290-1.0360-1.0460-1.0570-1.0690-1.0755-1.0830-1.0950-1.1157-1.1220-1.1303
In the subsequent period of EURUSD, 1.0570-1.0690-1.0755-1.0830-1.0950 can be operated as the bull and bear range. High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 16. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1.1920-1.2030-1.2135-1.2250-1.2375
Overall Oscillation Range: 1.1610-1.1830-1.1920-1.2030-1.2135-1.2250-1.2375-1.2400-1.2470-1.2550
In the subsequent period of GBPUSD, 1.1920-1.2030-1.2135-1.2250-1.2375 can be operated as the bull and bear range. High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 16. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Spot gold weakened slightly during the Asian session on Thursday (April 6), hitting a two-day low of $2007.89 per ounce and now trading near $2014.15. A series of weak economic data has fueled fears of an impending recession in the US, giving safe-haven support to the dollar. And some dollar shorts took profits, and gold bulls also took profits ahead of Good Friday and the non-farm payrolls data, putting pressure on gold prices.
On Wednesday, as the less-than-expected March "ADP" data and non-manufacturing PMI data fueled market concerns about an economic slowdown and spurred bets that the Federal Reserve could slow interest rate hikes. Spot gold continued to brush a new high since March last year, which was the highest intraday to $2032.13 per ounce, and then retracted most of the day's gains, finally closing up 0.01% at $2020.82 per ounce; spot silver hovered around $25 during the day, finally closing down 0.21% at $2
Spot gold oscillated slightly lower during the Asian session on Tuesday (April 4) and is currently trading around $1980.13 per ounce. The dollar index rebounded mildly after a big drop overnight, putting pressure on gold prices. However, this week will see the non-farm payrolls report, there is no important economic data out on Tuesday, and the market wait-and-see sentiment is getting stronger.
On Monday, in OPEC + members unexpectedly cut production reignited market concerns about long-term inflation and sparked uncertainty about the Fed's response, the dollar index once up to the 103 mark, and then on a "vertical roller coaster", giving back all the gains of the day and once lost 102 mark, finally closed down 0.53% at 102.04; U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose and then fell, as data showed that the U.S. economy continues to slow, it fell sharply in the U.S. session, and once to a low