Abstract:On Tuesday, February 21, the spot gold fell slightly in the Asian session, and the current trading price is around $1838.20 per ounce. Although there were bargain-hunting and safe-haven buying to support the gold price, the market was worried that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates to a higher terminal interest rate. The relatively strong dollar kept the gold price under pressure.
Market Overview
On Tuesday, February 21, the spot gold fell slightly in the Asian session, and the current trading price is around $1838.20 per ounce. Although there were bargain-hunting and safe-haven buying to support the gold price, the market was worried that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates to a higher terminal interest rate. The relatively strong dollar kept the gold price under pressure.
US crude oil weakened in shock, and is currently trading at around $76.50 per barrel. The expectation of a higher terminal interest rate of the Federal Reserve and the expectation of maintaining a higher interest rate level for a longer period of time have intensified the market's concern about the economic recession and depressed the expectation of crude oil demand. The relatively strong dollar also put pressure on oil prices.
In addition, Russia's marine crude oil shipments have seen a significant increase before the world's third-largest oil producer is about to cut production. According to the data, in the week ending February 17, Russia's marine crude oil shipments rose to 3.6 million barrels per day, which was the highest level in more than a month, and was up 26% from the previous week. India's crude oil imports from Russia climbed to 1.4 million barrels per day in January, which was a record high and was up 9.2% from December. This has exacerbated the market's concern about oversupply.
This trading day will also usher in the PMI data of European and American countries in February. The market generally expects that the data will be better than the performance in January, which may reduce the market's concern about the global economic recession, and may weaken the hedging demand for gold, which makes the gold price face further downside risks in the short term. However, if the European data is strong, the short-term correction pressure of the US dollar is also relatively high, and if the US dollar starts the correction, it is expected to provide some support for the gold price.
In addition, the US financial market is closed on Monday and the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting will be held on Wednesday. The market is in a strong wait-and-see mood and may limit trading.
Mohicans Markets strategy is only for reference and not for investment advice. Please carefully read the statement at the end of the text. The following strategy will be updated at 15:00 on February 21, 2023, Beijing time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1801-1817-1833-1856-1873
Overall Oscillation Range: 1730-1756-1780-1801-1817-1833-1856-1873-1889-1903-1911-1929-1937-1951-1978-1985
In the subsequent period of spot gold, 1801-1817-1833-1856-1873 can be operated as the bull and bear range; High throw low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 21. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 20.6-21.5-22.3-23.1
Overall Oscillation Range: 19.7-20.6-21.5-22.3-23.1-23.9-24.5-25.3-26.1
In the subsequent period of spot silver, 20.6-21.5-22.3-23.1 can be operated as the bull and bear range. High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 21. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 75.1-77.9-78.5-79.9-80.7
Overall Oscillation Range: 70.1-71.2-72.3-73.1-73.8-75.1-77.9-78.5-79.9-80.7-82.3-83.5-85.3
In the subsequent period of US crude oil, 75.1-77.9-78.5-79.9-80.7 can be operated as the bull and bear range. High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 21 This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1.0570-1.0690-1.0755-1.0830-1.0950
Overall Oscillation Range: 1.0290-1.0360-1.0460-1.0570-1.0690-1.0755-1.0830-1.0950-1.1157-1.1220-1.1303
In the subsequent period of EURUSD, 1.0570-1.0690-1.0755-1.0830-1.0950 can be operated as the bull and bear range. High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 21. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1.1830-1.1920-1.2030-1.2135-1.2250
Overall Oscillation Range: 1.1610-1.1830-1.1920-1.2030-1.2135-1.2250-1.2375-1.2400-1.2470-1.2550
In the subsequent period of GBPUSD, 1.1830-1.1920-1.2030-1.2135-1.2250 can be operated as the bull and bear range. High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 21. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Spot gold weakened slightly during the Asian session on Thursday (April 6), hitting a two-day low of $2007.89 per ounce and now trading near $2014.15. A series of weak economic data has fueled fears of an impending recession in the US, giving safe-haven support to the dollar. And some dollar shorts took profits, and gold bulls also took profits ahead of Good Friday and the non-farm payrolls data, putting pressure on gold prices.
On Wednesday, as the less-than-expected March "ADP" data and non-manufacturing PMI data fueled market concerns about an economic slowdown and spurred bets that the Federal Reserve could slow interest rate hikes. Spot gold continued to brush a new high since March last year, which was the highest intraday to $2032.13 per ounce, and then retracted most of the day's gains, finally closing up 0.01% at $2020.82 per ounce; spot silver hovered around $25 during the day, finally closing down 0.21% at $2
Spot gold oscillated slightly lower during the Asian session on Tuesday (April 4) and is currently trading around $1980.13 per ounce. The dollar index rebounded mildly after a big drop overnight, putting pressure on gold prices. However, this week will see the non-farm payrolls report, there is no important economic data out on Tuesday, and the market wait-and-see sentiment is getting stronger.
On Monday, in OPEC + members unexpectedly cut production reignited market concerns about long-term inflation and sparked uncertainty about the Fed's response, the dollar index once up to the 103 mark, and then on a "vertical roller coaster", giving back all the gains of the day and once lost 102 mark, finally closed down 0.53% at 102.04; U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose and then fell, as data showed that the U.S. economy continues to slow, it fell sharply in the U.S. session, and once to a low