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Daily summary: US dollar rebounds after latest data

XTB | 2023-03-03 14:15

Abstract:The dollar index (DXY) has reversed over a quarter of the losses sustained during that period and is currently trading at levels seen in December.

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The dollar index (DXY) has reversed over a quarter of the losses sustained during that period and is currently trading at levels seen in December.

The main reason for the US dollar's rebound is the hawkish repricing of rate hike expectations by the Fed in response to stronger US activity and inflation data at the beginning of the year.

• European indices erased early losses and finished yesterday's trading higher, with DAX adding 0.15%.

• Euro Area inflation eased further to 8.5% in February, compared with market consensus of 8.2%, while the core rate hit a fresh record high.

• ECB President Christine Lagarde said that rates will have to rise higher and stay higher for some time to combat inflation. Markets are fully priced for a ECB's 50 bp hike in March, and are flirting with another 50bp in May.

• ECB minutes showed that policymakers were split in their interpretation of inflation trends and the type of signal they should send about their next rate move.

• Wall Streert indices trade mixed, with Dow Jones gains 0.50%, S&P 500 hovers above the flatline, while NASDAQ fell 0.15% as investors digested latest claims and labor costs data, which pointed to potential emergence of wage spiral.

• US initial jobless claims 190K versus 195K estimate

• US Q4 unit labor costs +3.2% vs +1.6% expected

• Fed's Bostic: Fed may have to do more given high inflation. It is appropriate to be cautious so that the Fed does enough to control inflation but does not do more than we need to.

• Fed's Collins: Number of additional hikes will be determined by incoming data

• US 10-year yields hit 4.08% and moving towards 14-year high of 4.3% reached in October

• OIL.WTI pulled back from session highs at $78.60 and is currently testing local support at $77.80 as investors weighed hopes for a rebound in Chinese demand against concerns about further policy tightening from the Federal Reserve.

• NATGAS fell from a 1-month high at $2.85 as forecasts for less heating demand next week more than offset a bigger-than-expected weekly storage draw.

• Precious metals moved lower amid a stronger dollar. Gold oscillates slightly below flatline around $1836, while silver bounced off daily lows and managed to climb back above resistance at $20.80.

• The dollar index jumped above 105.00 after fresh US data raised bets that interest rates will need to stay higher for longer. EURUSD retreated towards major support at 1.0580.

• Cryptocurrencies trade lower partially pressured by Silver Capital solvency concerns, whose stock fell over 50.0%. Bitcoin dropped below local support at $23,400, while Ethereum retested the $1620 mark.

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Forex Analysis

Related broker

Regulated
XTB
Company name:XTB Limited
Score
6.94
Website:https://www.xtb.com/en
15-20 years | Regulated in Cyprus | Regulated in United Kingdom | Regulated in Indonesia
Score
6.94

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If you trade forex from India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, or Nepal, you already know the quiet truth that eats into every trader's results: it is not just the market that decides whether you profit — it is the cost of getting in and out of each trade. Shave a couple of dollars off your commission on every lot, multiply it across hundreds of trades a year, and you are looking at the difference between a strategy that works and one that bleeds out slowly. South Asian traders are some of the most cost-conscious in the world, and rightly so. So we pulled the data on the brokers most often recommended for the region, cross-checked every name on WikiFX, and ranked them by the one number that matters most here: what they actually charge you to trade. Before the list, one quick lesson that will make this whole ranking click.

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XPO Fund Wants $10,000 Before You Trade a Single Real Dollar — Read This Stunning Revelation

If you have spent even a week inside trading communities lately, you already know the pitch by heart. Pass a quick "challenge," get handed a funded account worth tens of thousands of dollars, and keep up to 80% of everything you make. No risking your own savings, no slow grind of building capital from scratch — just skill, a small fee, and a fast track to the big leagues. It is the exact dream every new trader is secretly chasing, and an entire industry has sprung up to sell it. XPO Fund is one of the louder voices selling that story right now. Its website is slick, its plans sound generous, and its marketing leans hard on words like "industry's lowest fee" and "fast payouts." But before you reach for your card, there is one number sitting quietly on this firm's profile — a number it would rather you scroll past — that every experienced trader would beg you to look at first. And no, it is not the profit split. Let's pull XPO Fund apart piece by piece: what it actually is, who is real

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The 6 Best ECN Brokers for 2026: Who Really Delivers Raw Spreads and Institutional-Grade Execution

Every broker with a marketing budget now slaps the letters "ECN" on its homepage. Few of them actually deliver what those letters promise. For a serious trader — a scalper, a day trader, an algo trader, anyone whose edge lives or dies on execution quality — the gap between a true ECN broker and a market maker wearing an ECN costume can quietly cost you hundreds of pips a year in slippage, requotes, and inflated spreads. So we cut through the marketing, looked at the brokers that genuinely offer raw pricing and deep liquidity, and cross-checked every one of them on WikiFX. Here are the six ECN accounts that actually earn the label in 2026 — ranked. First, a short primer, because understanding ECN is what lets you judge these brokers properly.

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