Abstract:On Friday (March 17), in Asian session, spot gold rose in oscillations and is currently trading around 1931.75 US dollars per ounce, although the US dollar index has slightly declined, providing momentum for gold prices to rise. However, large American banks have injected $30 billion into First Republic Bank to rescue the Bank of First Republic, which has been caught in the recent financial turmoil. The Swiss Central Bank has also offered $54 billion in life-saving assistance to Credit Suisse.
Market Overview
On Friday (March 17), in Asian session, spot gold rose in oscillations and is currently trading around 1931.75 US dollars per ounce, although the US dollar index has slightly declined, providing momentum for gold prices to rise. However, large American banks have injected $30 billion into First Republic Bank to rescue the Bank of First Republic, which has been caught in the recent financial turmoil. The Swiss Central Bank has also offered $54 billion in life-saving assistance to Credit Suisse. The market's concern about the banking crisis in Europe and the United States has cooled, and global stock markets have generally risen. Investors need to be wary of short-term fluctuations in the gold price and even the risk of a peak.
Of course, the risk aversion sentiment has not completely subsided, and there is still a certain amount of risk aversion funds pouring into the gold market, providing support for the gold price. However, overnight, the European Central Bank unexpectedly raised interest rates by 50 basis points, and the market expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points next week, slightly bearish on gold prices in the short term. Although in the medium to long term, the market expects global central banks to have entered the end of the interest rate raising cycle, and the expectation of terminal interest rates has significantly decreased, which is expected to provide support for gold prices in the middle line.
US crude oil traded near $68.30 per barrel; Oil prices bottomed out and rebounded on Thursday, ending three consecutive days of declines. Earlier, it was reported that Saudi Arabia and Russia had met to discuss how to strengthen market stability. The two countries continued to promise to comply with the decision to reduce their production target by 2 million barrels per day by the end of 2023; Helped by a strong rebound in the financial sector, the sharp closing of US stocks also boosted oil prices.
On this trading day, attention needs to be paid to the monthly rate of industrial output in the United States in February, the initial value of the University of Michigan consumer confidence index in the United States in March, and news related to the banking crisis in Europe and the United States.
The Mohicans Markets strategy is for reference only and is not intended as investment advice. Please carefully read the statement terms at the end of the article. The following strategy was updated at 15:00 Beijing time on March 17, 2023.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1873-1889-1903-1911-1929-1937
Overall Oscillation Range: 1730-1756-1780-1801-1817-1833-1856-1873-1889-1903-1911-1929-1937-1951-1978-1985
In the subsequent period of spot gold, 1873-1889-1903-1911-1929-1937 can be operated as the bull and bear range; High throw low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on March 17. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 20.1-20.6-21.5-22.3
Overall Oscillation Range: 19.7-20.1-20.6-21.5-22.3-23.1-23.9-24.5-25.3-26.1
In the subsequent period of spot silver, 20.1-20.6-21.5-22.3 can be operated as the bull and bear range. High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on March 17. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range:64.5-65.8-66.9-67.3-68.9-70.1-71.2
Overall Oscillation Range: 62.1-63.7-64.5-65.8-66.9-67.3-68.9-70.1-71.2-72.3-73.1-73.8-75.1-77.9-78.5-79.9-80.7-82.3-83.5-85.3
In the subsequent period of US crude oil, 64.5-65.8-66.9-67.3-68.9-70.1-71.2 can be operated as the bull and bear range. High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on March 17. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1.0460-1.0570-1.0690-1.0755
Overall Oscillation Range: 1.0290-1.0360-1.0460-1.0570-1.0690-1.0755-1.0830-1.0950-1.1157-1.1220-1.1303
In the subsequent period of EURUSD, 1.0460-1.0570-1.0690-1.0755 can be operated as the bull and bear range. High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on March 17. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1.1830-1.1920-1.2030-1.2135
Overall Oscillation Range: 1.1610-1.1830-1.1920-1.2030-1.2135-1.2250-1.2375-1.2400-1.2470-1.2550
In the subsequent period of GBPUSD, 1.1830-1.1920-1.2030-1.2135 can be operated as the bull and bear range. High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on March 17. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Spot gold weakened slightly during the Asian session on Thursday (April 6), hitting a two-day low of $2007.89 per ounce and now trading near $2014.15. A series of weak economic data has fueled fears of an impending recession in the US, giving safe-haven support to the dollar. And some dollar shorts took profits, and gold bulls also took profits ahead of Good Friday and the non-farm payrolls data, putting pressure on gold prices.
On Wednesday, as the less-than-expected March "ADP" data and non-manufacturing PMI data fueled market concerns about an economic slowdown and spurred bets that the Federal Reserve could slow interest rate hikes. Spot gold continued to brush a new high since March last year, which was the highest intraday to $2032.13 per ounce, and then retracted most of the day's gains, finally closing up 0.01% at $2020.82 per ounce; spot silver hovered around $25 during the day, finally closing down 0.21% at $2
Spot gold oscillated slightly lower during the Asian session on Tuesday (April 4) and is currently trading around $1980.13 per ounce. The dollar index rebounded mildly after a big drop overnight, putting pressure on gold prices. However, this week will see the non-farm payrolls report, there is no important economic data out on Tuesday, and the market wait-and-see sentiment is getting stronger.
On Monday, in OPEC + members unexpectedly cut production reignited market concerns about long-term inflation and sparked uncertainty about the Fed's response, the dollar index once up to the 103 mark, and then on a "vertical roller coaster", giving back all the gains of the day and once lost 102 mark, finally closed down 0.53% at 102.04; U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose and then fell, as data showed that the U.S. economy continues to slow, it fell sharply in the U.S. session, and once to a low