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EUR Anticipates ECB's Decision: Overview for June 15, 2023

RoboForex | 2023-06-19 18:27

Abstract:EUR/USD is currently experiencing heightened volatility throughout this week. The primary currency pair is in a consolidation phase on Thursday, eagerly awaiting crucial news. The current EUR/USD exchange rate stands at 1.0810.

100829387-157375311r.1910x1000.jpg

EUR/USD is currently experiencing heightened volatility throughout this week.

The primary currency pair is in a consolidation phase on Thursday, eagerly awaiting crucial news. The current EUR/USD exchange rate stands at 1.0810.

These past few days have been filled with news and emotions, yet the market has managed to handle the load quite well thus far.

Just yesterday, the US Federal Reserve System surprised the market by opting to maintain the interest rate at 5.25% per annum. However, the Fed hinted at their intention to continue raising borrowing costs, albeit at a more modest pace. This decision caught the market off guard, as it was widely believed that the phase of tightening monetary policy had concluded.

As of Thursday, all eyes are on the European Central Bank's meeting, where an interest rate increase of 25 basis points to 4% per annum is highly anticipated. It is expected that the ECB will implement two rate hikes before pausing to collect and analyze relevant data.

The currency market is currently situated in a zone of heightened volatility, carrying significant risks of sudden shifts in sentiment.

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Forex Analysis

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No, we are not kidding! The rupee has indeed hit this low, from 90 to 95 against the US dollar, the fastest in nearly a decade, highlighting the slump due to rising crude oil prices and global uncertainty from the series of adverse events related to the geopolitical conflict in the Middle East. It just took five months for the rupee to weaken from 90 to 95, the sharpest five-point depreciation since the 2013 taper tantrum. During this period, the rupee declined from 60 to 65 within a month amid concerns over India’s current account deficit and large capital outflows.

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