Abstract:The dollar index on Wednesday dropped below 100 points for the first time since April 2022.

The dollar index on Wednesday dropped below 100 points for the first time since April 2022.
The dollar index (the exchange rate against a basket of currencies of six US trading partner countries) declined by 0.54% to 99.98 points during Thursday's trading. The indicator is below 100 points for the first time since April last year. The EUR/USD exchange rate rose to $1.1189 from the previous closing level of $1.1128. The USD/JPY exchange rate declined to 138.25 yen from 138.5 yen.
Investors continue to evaluate US inflation data. According to statistics published yesterday, annual inflation in the country slowed to 3% by the end of June from 4% a month earlier. Analysts had forecast the indicator at 3.1%.
Due to the unexpected slowdown in inflation, the markets expect the easing of the monetary policy of the US Federal Reserve. About 95% of the analysts surveyed predict a 25 basis point increase in the key rate in July. However, about 74% of experts predict only one rate increase by 25 basis points in the period from July to November. At the June Fed meeting, the rate was kept at 5-5.25%.
Analysts note that more «dovish» expectations from the Federal Reserve System caused the weakening of the dollar, the index of which is declining for the fourth trading session in a row

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No, we are not kidding! The rupee has indeed hit this low, from 90 to 95 against the US dollar, the fastest in nearly a decade, highlighting the slump due to rising crude oil prices and global uncertainty from the series of adverse events related to the geopolitical conflict in the Middle East. It just took five months for the rupee to weaken from 90 to 95, the sharpest five-point depreciation since the 2013 taper tantrum. During this period, the rupee declined from 60 to 65 within a month amid concerns over India’s current account deficit and large capital outflows.

While it was a flat day for India’s benchmark stock indices (Sensex & Nifty), there was a sort of recovery for the rupee in the foreign exchange market on May 21, 2026. Giving investors more reasons to enjoy was another bull run for gold, which is touching the 16K threshold for 10 grams. Taking three markets combined, the overall sentiment remains mixed for investors. Here is how the day panned out for investors across these markets.

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