Abstract:GBPUSD is trading towards key support ahead of the Bank of England rate decision. Will prices remain in an upward trend?
GBPUSD is trading towards key support ahead of the Bank of England rate decision. Will prices remain in an upward trend?
In a rollercoaster year, the latest actions from the Bank of England and other financial indicators imply a significant alteration in the UK's economic environment.
Let's look further into this. Predictions indicate the Bank of England will increase their rates to 5.25%, a percentage resembling those from the previous severe downturn. This measure reflects the Bank's vigorous approach to controlling inflation. However, it also piques interest and shines a spotlight on the fundamental economic issues lurking beneath the surface.
Inflation, the silent eroder of our purchasing power, continues to be a cause for concern. Current rates are hovering around a staggering 7.90%, which is significantly above the 3% target set by policymakers. For the everyday consumer, this translates to a higher cost of living. Prices for basic goods and services are surging, creating a strain on household budgets.
But its not just consumers feeling the pinch. Businesses, especially those dependent on imports, face squeezed profit margins. The dilemma? Either absorb the added costs, which can be debilitating, or transfer them to consumers and exacerbate the inflationary spiral.
Recession fears continue to grow with some key indicators being:
Rising Unemployment: A steadily increasing number of individuals find themselves without a job. With unemployment comes decreased consumer spending—a significant engine that powers the UK economy.
Business Bankruptcies Approach 2008 Highs: It‘s alarming to see businesses, from fledgling startups to established enterprises, grappling to stay afloat. The current bankruptcy rate, eerily reminiscent of the 2008 crisis, underscores the challenges businesses face in today’s economic climate.
GBPUSD
Looking at the chart we can see GBPUSD is in a strong weekly upward trend.
However, depending on the outcome of the announcement price could trade lower if it breaks down through the 1.2650 support.
If price holds, a move higher could form with prices heading towards 1.3000.
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The yen strengthens past 156 as markets anticipate a rate hike from the Bank of Japan this week.
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