Global Market Reactions to Recent Economic, Corporate, and Political Developments

1

Investors urgently seek clarity on global monetary policy as major economies send conflicting signals. Central bank meetings in Tokyo and Washington on Wednesday and London on Thursday could significantly impact bonds, stocks, and currency markets. Traders are gauging if the Bank of Japan will hike rates and when the Fed and Bank of England might cut rates.

Analysis:

Impact on FX:Monetary policy decisions could cause significant volatility.

FX Pair:USD/JPY, GBP/USD, EUR/USD

Impact on Shares:

Global Markets: High volatility expected.

Companies:General Market Indices

2

Apple Inc.'s upcoming AI features will be delayed, missing the initial release of the new iPhone and iPad software updates. These AI features are expected to arrive in October via a software update, allowing Apple more time to fix bugs.

Analysis:

Impact on FX:Delays in key tech features could weaken the USD.

FX Pair:USD/JPY, EUR/USD, GBP/USD

Impact on Shares:

US Technology Market: Potential negative impact on Apple and related tech stocks.

Companies:Apple Inc. (AAPL)

3

Eisai's stock dropped over 12%, the largest in three years, after European regulators rejected its Alzheimers treatment developed with Biogen Inc. This decision impacts their global expansion plans.

Analysis:

Impact on FX:Negative drug approval news could weaken the JPY.

FX Pair:USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY

Impact on Shares:

Japanese Market: Negative impact on pharmaceutical stocks.

Companies:Eisai (4523.T), Biogen Inc. (BIIB)

4

Singapore-based hedge fund startup Keystone Investors Pte, founded during the pandemic, saw assets grow to over $2.6 billion in just two years. The company has stopped accepting new funds as existing commitments are sufficient to reach its $3 billion cap.

Analysis:

Impact on FX:Strong hedge fund performance could strengthen the SGD.

FX Pair:USD/SGD, EUR/SGD, GBP/SGD

Impact on Shares:

Singapore Market: Positive impact on financial sector stocks.

Companies:Keystone Investors Pte

5

Malaysia's Foreign Ministry stated Russia would support Malaysia's application to join BRICS, as Moscow aims to extend its influence in the Global South. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov made this assurance to Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim.

Analysis:

Impact on FX:Potential BRICS membership could strengthen the MYR.

FX Pair:USD/MYR, EUR/MYR, GBP/MYR

Impact on Shares:

Malaysian Market: Positive impact on foreign investment.

Companies:Local market indices

6

Vietnam's July exports surged 19.1%, marking five consecutive months of growth, the highest since January's 42% rise. Imports grew 24.7%, narrowing the trade surplus from $2.9 billion in June to $2.1 billion.

Analysis:

Impact on FX:Strong trade performance could strengthen the VND.

FX Pair:USD/VND, EUR/VND, GBP/VND

Impact on Shares:

Vietnamese Market: Positive impact on export-related stocks.

Companies:Local export companies

7

Former President Donald Trump criticized the strong dollar for harming U.S. manufacturing. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen argued the issue is complex, emphasizing G7's commitment to market-determined exchange rates and downplaying international trade's role in reducing factory jobs.

Analysis:

Impact on FX:Political debates over the dollar could increase volatility.

FX Pair:USD/JPY, EUR/USD, GBP/USD

Impact on Shares:

US Manufacturing Market: Mixed impact depending on policy outcomes.

Companies:General Market Indices

8

Germany's inability to generate meaningful economic growth clouds its long-term outlook and the political hopes of Chancellor Olaf Scholz's three-party coalition. Business confidence fell sharply, and Q2 GDP data is expected to show minimal growth.

Analysis:

Impact on FX:Economic stagnation could weaken the EUR.

FX Pair:EUR/USD, EUR/JPY, EUR/GBP

Impact on Shares:

German Market: Negative impact on industrial and financial stocks.

Companies:Volkswagen (VOW3.DE), Siemens (SIE.DE)

9

Australia's central bank may face policy tightening debates as Q2 inflation data is set to be released. Consumer prices are expected to rise 3.8% year-over-year, potentially prompting the RBA to act to maintain credibility.

Analysis:

Impact on FX:High inflation could strengthen the AUD.

FX Pair:USD/AUD, EUR/AUD, GBP/AUD

Impact on Shares:

Australian Market: Mixed impact depending on inflation data.

Companies:Local market indices

10

Brent crude oil prices fluctuated above $81 per barrel after a 1.5% drop on Friday, marking three consecutive weeks of decline. Industrial profits in China grew faster in June, indicating manufacturing resilience, which eased concerns about global oil demand.

Analysis:

Impact on FX:Stable oil prices could strengthen the USD.

FX Pair:USD/CAD, USD/NOK, USD/RUB

Impact on Shares:

Global Energy Market: Positive impact on energy sector stocks.

Companies:ExxonMobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX)

11

Peruvian President Dina Boluarte expressed optimism about the country's economic outlook in her Independence Day speech, predicting growth above expectations. She announced early elections next April, ahead of the planned 2026 elections, amid ongoing political unrest.

Analysis:

Impact on FX:Positive economic outlook could strengthen the PEN.

FX Pair:USD/PEN, EUR/PEN, GBP/PEN

Impact on Shares:

Peruvian Market: Positive impact on local market stocks.

Companies:Local market indices

12

Bank of America's Michael Hartnett warned that if the U.S. economy continues to cool, the rally in the biggest U.S. tech stocks could face further downside risks.

Analysis:

Impact on FX:Economic cooling could weaken the USD.

FX Pair:USD/JPY, EUR/USD, GBP/USD

Impact on Shares:

US Technology Market: Negative impact on major tech stocks.

Companies:Apple Inc. (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN)