Abstract: Market Overview Gold is currently at an all-time high, serving as a reflection of global uncertainty and a hedge against instability. Historically, while currencies have changed, gold and silverh
Market Overview
Gold is currently at an all-time high, serving as a reflection of global uncertainty and a hedge against instability. Historically, while currencies have changed, gold and silverhave remained constant stores of value, which is why central banks, particularly in China and other large nations, have been increasing their gold reserves. This is seen as a safeguard against potential global economic shifts.
The recent rise in gold prices can be partially attributed to the Federal Reserve'ssignaling of future interest rate cuts. However, more significant concerns stem from ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly the U.S.s diminishing ability to manage conflicts in the Middle Eastand Ukraine, as well as rising threats from Chinaand Russia.
These tensions are pushing countries to increase their military spending as they prepare to secure their national interests independently, further contributing to market uncertainty. Traders are seeking safety in gold and silver as potential disruptions to the global financial system loom.
Market Analysis
GOLD - Gold has risen to new highs. Currently, new structures are forming, as detailed in the chart. Gold has just broken above its previous high and is making new highs, with only a few resistance structures in its path. Our bias remains very bullish on Gold, which aligns with the COT reports.
SILVER - Silver has risen as expected, even exceeding the structure at 31.472. We see the market heading towards 32.518 and possibly breaking above this level. We're looking for further buy opportunities in this market.
DXY - The Dollar has fallen below 100.443 and continues to signal selling pressure. Its just a few pips away from filling the wick. We are waiting for further selling confirmation but remain bearish on the Dollar.
GBPUSD - The Pound is testing 1.34998, and we view the market as very bullish, especially with the BOE pushing back further rate cuts.
AUDUSD - The Aussie dollar is climbing towards 0.69144, though currently sitting between 0.68715. We anticipate this market will rise further as the Dollar continues to weaken.
NZDUSD -The Kiwi is outperforming the Aussie, breaking through major resistance with potential for further gains. We maintain a bullish outlook on this market.
EURUSD - As expected, the Euro has filled the wick, and we now see it going higher, especially as the ECBs pace of rate cuts appears slower than that of the USD.
USDJPY -Despite USD weakness, the Yen also shows signs of weakness, causing a rise in the pair. While the Yen dropped below 143.442 last night in response to USD weakness, we now see the price pushing back into its trading range.
USDCHF -The Franc is gaining strength as risk-averse sentiment grows, especially with rising geopolitical tensions. In the face of war, we expect the Franc to continue strengthening.
USDCAD -Lastly, the Loonie has gained significantly, as the market begins to respond to the dangers in the Middle East. Though the reaction was delayed, it was in line with our expectations. Oil prices are also expected to rise further.