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Markets Brace for FED Rate Decision

The spotlight is on the FED's rate decision this Thursday. Trump has urged for an immediate rate cut, but analysts expect the FOMC to hold rates steady. Will Trump's demand shake the FED's stance？

Market Pulse:

• Trump's inflationary policies could fuel uncertainty.
• Rising tariff tensions after Trump's announcement on Colombia weigh on precious metals and global currencies.

Key Events This Week:

• Tuesday: SNB Chair Jordan's outlook + U.S. CB Consumer Confidence.
• Wednesday: Australia CPI, BOE Governor's speech, and BOC rate decision.
• Thursday: ECB policy statement, U.S. Advance GDP, and unemployment data.
• Friday: European CPI, Canadian GDP, U.S. Core PCE, and Employment Cost Index.

Market AnalysisGOLD

Gold faces selling momentum (MACD), but RSI suggests a possible rebound. Price action remains bullish with key support intact.

If Trump's policies trigger inflation concerns, gold may shine as a safe haven. Expect short-term dips as Dollar demand rises before the next rally.

SILVER

Silver consolidates but holds bullish structures. Oversold RSI signals a potential turnaround. Prices may surge once gold becomes overbought.

DXY (Dollar Index)

The Dollar rallies ahead of the FED decision. While overbought RSI suggests caution, tariff fears fuel bullish fundamentals. Strong resistance at 107.834 remains critical.

GBPUSD

The pound breaks higher, hitting 1.24754, but the RSI shows overbought conditions. Momentum may normalize soon, with long-term weakness still likely.

AUDUSD

Aussie opens with a gap. RSI recovers from oversold levels, hinting at bullish momentum. A move below 0.63407 could reverse this trend.

NZDUSD

Kiwi follows the Aussie's momentum shift but shows a growing bearish volume (MACD). A break below 0.56859 signals bearish momentum ahead.

EURUSD

Euro dips below 1.04672, with bearish MACD signals. Oversold RSI indicates short-term buying, but long-term weakness persists.

USDJPY

Yen consolidates after BOJ's rate hike to 0.5%. Trumps unpredictability adds pressure, but bullish structures suggest a potential Yen rally.

USDCHF

Swiss Franc holds below 0.90743. Weak momentum indicates its serving as a hedge against volatility.

USDCAD

CAD weakens as tariff fears grow. MACD shows rising bullish volume. Long-term strength favors the Dollar.

COT Analysis

• Strong: USD (4/5), Gold (5/5), Silver (5/5).
• Weak: AUD (4/5), GBP (5/5), CAD (4/5), EUR (5/5), JPY (3/5), CHF (5/5), NZD (4/5).

Dollar strength dominates, while gold and silver remain key hedges. Prepare for a volatile week ahead!