Ultima Markets | VIX Analysis: Panic continues to spread

In this comprehensive analysis, Ultima Markets brings you an insightful breakdown of the VIX for MAR 11, 2025.

Fundamental Analysis of VIX

VIX Key Takeaways

• US stocks fell: US stocks hit their lowest level since Obama took office in 2009 during the global financial crisis. Since Trump was elected US President on January 20, the S&P 500 has fallen 6.4%, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index has fallen more than 10%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has fallen 3.6%.

• Increased risk of recession: When Trump was asked last week whether the United States would have a recession this year, Trump said he did not rule out the possibility of a recession. And just last Friday, the new US Treasury Secretary Bessant told CNBC directly that there were some signs of weakness in the US economy. He warned that the US economy will slow down and go through a “detoxification period” to get rid of growth dependence on government spending.

Technical Analysis of VIX Daily and Hourly Charts

VIX Daily Chart Insights

(VIX Daily Price Chart, Source: Ultima Markets MT4)

• Stochastic oscillator: After exceeding the 50 median line, the indicator slowed down and fluctuated for a period of time. Last Thursday, the bullish signal was once again clear, making it clear that the current VIX Volatility Index will continue to rise, and market panic began to spread.

• Resistance area: The horizontal price of around 22.7 has long been the key resistance of the VIX Volatility Index. Yesterday, the volatility index officially broke through this price and is currently blocked by the upward channel line. There is a probability of a short-term decline, but the market price does not fall below the 22.7 support price, and the bullish idea is still the main one.

VIX H1 Chart Analysis

(VIX H1 Price Chart, Source: Ultima Markets MT4)

• Stochastic oscillator: During the Asian session, the indicator sends a short signal in the overbought area, and at the same time forms a top divergence with the market price, and the price faces a short-term downward adjustment.

• Resistance area: The market price is accelerating upward, and is currently blocked by the upward channel line. The purple 13-period moving average below is the short-term support price. If it falls below, today may be dominated by a volatile trend.

Pivot Indicator Insights for VIX

(VIX M30 Price Chart, Source: Ultima Markets MT4)

• According to Pivot Indicator in Ultima Markets MT4, the central price of the day is established at 147.30,

• Bullish Scenario: Bullish sentiment prevails above 147.30, first target 148.40, second target 148.80;

• Bearish Outlook: In a bearish scenario below 147.30, first target 147.00, second target 146.70.

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