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10-year Treasury yield ticks higher as investors eye jobs report

WikiFX
| 2025-07-01 10:54

Abstract:The 10-year Treasury yield slipped during the Tuesday session, as investors awaited the release of U.S. jobs data in a shortened trading week.

The 10-year Treasury yield rose during the Tuesday session, as investors awaited the release of U.S. jobs data in a shortened trading week.

The benchmark yield inched 1 basis point higher to 4.236%, and the 30-year yield fell less than a basis point to 4.774%. The 2-year yield was up more than 2 basis points to 3.746%.

One basis point is equal to 0.01%, and yields and prices share an inverse relationship.

U.S. markets are closed on July 4 for the Independence Day celebration, with June payroll data — a key economic indicator — now expected a day earlier on Thursday. Watchers will get a first glimpse of the health of U.S. employment through the release of ADP private payrolls on Wednesday.

Investors are also following the progress of President Donald Trump's “big, beautiful bill,” which overcame a crucial procedural obstacle in the U.S. Senate late Saturday, bringing the sweeping spending measure a step closer to becoming law.

The motion to advance the bill to final debate passed narrowly, with the vote at 51-49, with every Democrat and two Republicans voting against it.

The voting process stretched on for hours, with the measure securing enough support only after a few initially hesitant Republicans ultimately switched to “yes” votes after withholding them.

The “big, beautiful bill” is set to be passed, said Vishnu Varathan, head of economics and strategy at Mizuho Securities. While it is projected to add $3.3 trillion in debt burden over a decade, softer Treasury yields may take some edge off, he added.

The closely watched Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for May will be released later in the day. Also on Tuesday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is slated to speak at 9:30 a.m. ET at the European Central Bank's Forum on Central Banking in Portugal.

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