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US-Iran talks deadlocked; USD under pressure Friday, gold hits $4650, oil up ~2%.

CWG Markets | 2026-04-27 14:29

Abstract:Last Friday, influenced by the decision of the Department of Justice to terminate the investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and the growing optimism in the market that negotiations to end

Last Friday, influenced by the decision of the Department of Justice to terminate the investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and the growing optimism in the market that negotiations to end the US Israel war with Iran may be about to begin, the US dollar index fell slightly and ultimately closed down 0.33% at 98.49; The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.307%, while the 2-year Treasury yield sensitive to the Federal Reserve policy rate closed at 3.791%. On Monday (April 27th Beijing time), in the morning session of the Asian market, spot gold fell below $4700 per ounce at the opening, and may test the $4650 per ounce mark during the day. As Iran's stance is more firm than in the first round of negotiations, it has stated that it does not accept participating in negotiations under pressure or strait blockade. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged this week is 100%, and the probability of interest rate hikes within the year has increased as the market is weighing the possibility of the United States and Iran restarting peace talks, causing severe fluctuations in international oil prices. WTI crude oil plummeted rapidly before the US market, falling below $95 at one point before recovering some lost ground, ultimately closing down 2.23% at $97.08 per barrel; Brent crude oil ultimately closed down 0.99% at $100.12 per barrel.

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5-10 years | Regulated in United Kingdom | Regulated in South Africa | Regulated in Vanuatu
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