Hong Kong
2024-12-28 15:41
IndustryGoldman: Cyclicals Signal Stronger Growth
David Kostin of Goldman Sachs highlights a bullish outlook for cyclical stocks amid expectations of robust US economic growth in 2025. Key points include:
1. Above-Consensus Growth Expectations
Goldman Sachs economists predict US economic growth in 2025 will surpass market consensus, supported by potential fiscal policy shifts.
2. Cyclicals Outperform Defensives
Since Election Day, cyclicals (excluding commodities) have outperformed defensives by 5 percentage points, reflecting optimism in economic activity.
3. Growth Beyond Optimistic Projections
Current performance of cyclicals aligns with real GDP growth projections significantly exceeding even Goldman’s optimistic forecasts.
This signals strong investor confidence in economic resilience and cyclical sectors' potential.
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Goldman: Cyclicals Signal Stronger Growth
Hong Kong | 2024-12-28 15:41
David Kostin of Goldman Sachs highlights a bullish outlook for cyclical stocks amid expectations of robust US economic growth in 2025. Key points include:
1. Above-Consensus Growth Expectations
Goldman Sachs economists predict US economic growth in 2025 will surpass market consensus, supported by potential fiscal policy shifts.
2. Cyclicals Outperform Defensives
Since Election Day, cyclicals (excluding commodities) have outperformed defensives by 5 percentage points, reflecting optimism in economic activity.
3. Growth Beyond Optimistic Projections
Current performance of cyclicals aligns with real GDP growth projections significantly exceeding even Goldman’s optimistic forecasts.
This signals strong investor confidence in economic resilience and cyclical sectors' potential.
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