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2025-03-04 22:49
Industryhow to identify a change in dollar trend
#FedRateCutAffectsDollarTrend
To identify a change in the U.S. dollar trend, focus on these key indicators:
1. Technical Analysis
Break of Key Support/Resistance – If the USD breaks a long-term level, it signals a trend shift.
Moving Averages (MA Crossover) – A short-term MA crossing a long-term MA (e.g., 50-day above 200-day) indicates trend change.
RSI & MACD Divergence – Overbought/oversold levels or divergence suggest potential reversals.
2. Fundamental Analysis
Fed Policy Shifts – A rate cut or hawkish/dovish Fed stance can change dollar direction.
Inflation & Jobs Data – High inflation may lead to tightening (bullish USD), while weak employment data may signal easing (bearish USD).
Geopolitical & Risk Sentiment – Crisis or uncertainty boosts USD as a safe haven, while risk-on sentiment weakens it.
3. Market Sentiment
DXY Index Movement – A rising DXY suggests a strong dollar; a falling DXY suggests weakness.
Positioning Data (COT Reports) – Shows how institutional traders are betting on the USD.
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how to identify a change in dollar trend
#FedRateCutAffectsDollarTrend
To identify a change in the U.S. dollar trend, focus on these key indicators:
1. Technical Analysis
Break of Key Support/Resistance – If the USD breaks a long-term level, it signals a trend shift.
Moving Averages (MA Crossover) – A short-term MA crossing a long-term MA (e.g., 50-day above 200-day) indicates trend change.
RSI & MACD Divergence – Overbought/oversold levels or divergence suggest potential reversals.
2. Fundamental Analysis
Fed Policy Shifts – A rate cut or hawkish/dovish Fed stance can change dollar direction.
Inflation & Jobs Data – High inflation may lead to tightening (bullish USD), while weak employment data may signal easing (bearish USD).
Geopolitical & Risk Sentiment – Crisis or uncertainty boosts USD as a safe haven, while risk-on sentiment weakens it.
3. Market Sentiment
DXY Index Movement – A rising DXY suggests a strong dollar; a falling DXY suggests weakness.
Positioning Data (COT Reports) – Shows how institutional traders are betting on the USD.
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