Abstract:U. S. President Joe Biden has said some important deals have been reached with Saudi Arabia and expects we will see further steps on the energy front in the coming weeks. The Saudi foreign minister responded that oil production was not discussed at the Saudi summit in Jeddah, and that OPEC+ will continue to assess the oil market to ensure adequate supply, and if we see oil shortages, there will be more production, and he also said , The 13 million barrels per day that the crown prince mentioned
Fundamentals:
U. S. President Joe Biden has said some important deals have been reached with Saudi Arabia and expects we will see further steps on the energy front in the coming weeks. The Saudi foreign minister responded that oil production was not discussed at the Saudi summit in Jeddah, and that OPEC+ will continue to assess the oil market to ensure adequate supply, and if we see oil shortages, there will be more production, and he also said , The 13 million barrels per day that the crown prince mentioned during his meeting with Biden was Saudi Arabia's oil production capacity.
US retail sales in June recorded a monthly rate of 1%, expected 0.8%, the previous value of -0.30%. The data eased fears of a recession, raising the odds that the Federal Reserve will hike rates aggressively this month. Fed's Daly said retail sales data showed people were still spending. The U.S. University of Michigan consumer confidence index in July recorded a preliminary reading of 51.1, compared with an expected 49.9 and the previous value of 50. Consumer confidence is relatively stable and remains near record lows, said Joanne Hsu, director of consumer surveys at the University of Michigan.
Technical:
Dow: In terms of U.S. stocks, the three major stock indexes closed up, the Dow rose more than 655 points, the Nasdaq rose 1.79%, the U.S. retail sales data in June was better than expected, traders reduced their bets on the Fed to raise interest rates, and many bank stocks Soaring, Citi rose more than 13%, State Street rose 8%, Bank of America rose 6.8%. The support position of the Dow is valid, the bulls continue, and the top is concerned about the position near the support pressure position of 31900.
U.S. dollar: The U.S. dollar index fluctuated downward, held the 108 mark in a thrilling manner, and finally closed down 0.598% at 108.01; the 10-year U.S. bond yield fluctuated within a narrow range and finally closed at 2.928%. The top of the dollar fell, and the bulls were cautious, focusing on the target position of 106.5 below.
Gold: Last Friday, spot gold fluctuated widely, fluctuated violently during the session, and even fell below the US$1,700 mark several times, and finally successfully recovered the mark, closing down 0.16% at US$1,706.78/oz; spot silver was once before the European market. It dropped to $18.17, then rebounded all the way, and finally closed up 1.66% at $18.69 per ounce. Gold fluctuated at a low level, chasing the empty cautiously, and paying attention to the target position of 1745 above.
Crude oil:In terms of crude oil, the two oil prices fluctuated upward. WTI crude oil tried to break through US$99, but failed, and finally closed up 0.88% at US$97.41/barrel; Brent crude oil closed up 1.35% at US$102.44/barrel. Crude oil fluctuated, and the top was concerned about the target position near 103.
(The above analysis only represents the analyst's point of view, the foreign exchange market is risky, and investment should be cautious)
Data on Thursday showed the U.S. economy unexpectedly shrank in the second quarter, with consumer spending growing at the slowest pace in two years and business spending falling, raising the risk of a recession. The data came a day after the Fed raised interest rates by another 75 basis points in a bid to quell inflation. The Fed's actions, combined with previous actions in March, May and June, have raised the target range for the overnight benchmark rate from near zero to 2.25%-2.50%. It was th
At 2 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday, the Federal Reserve’s FOMC announced its July interest rate decision, raising interest rates by 75 basis points for the second consecutive month, raising the target range of the federal funds rate from 1.50% to 1.75% to 2.25% to 2.50%, in line with the market. expected. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell hinted that another 75 basis points of interest rate hikes may be possible in September, denying that the U.S. economy is in a recession, while talking ab
On July 27, data showed that the U.S. trade deficit narrowed sharply in June as exports jumped, while orders for non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft, seen as a barometer of business spending plans, rose 0.5% last month, potentially easing the impact on the economy. some concerns. The U.S. dollar index closed down 0.69 percent on Wednesday at 106.48. At 2:00 on July 28, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 75 basis points as widely expected, and comments from Fed Chairman Powell
At 02:00 on July 28, Beijing time, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision and policy statement. Then at 02:30, Fed Chairman Powell held a monetary policy press conference. Markets are pricing in another 75 basis points of rate hikes this time around, taking the federal funds rate to a target range of 2.25% to 2.50%, in line with Fed officials’ long-term estimate of a “neutral” policy setting. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's pledge to fight persistently high inflation and policy g