Abstract:On Thursday,November 24, Beijing Time, during the Asian and European session, spot gold shocks up, once hit a four-day high to $ 1756.72 per ounce. The poor performance of US PMI data overnight and the dovish Fed minutes have put the US dollar index under significant pressure and is expected to fall for the third consecutive session, which has given gold prices upward momentum.
Market Overview
On Thursday,November 24, Beijing Time, during the Asian and European session, spot gold shocks up, once hit a four-day high to $ 1756.72 per ounce. The poor performance of US PMI data overnight and the dovish Fed minutes have put the US dollar index under significant pressure and is expected to fall for the third consecutive session, which has given gold prices upward momentum.
Given that gold prices have held support around the September 12 high of 1735.02 for the past three trading days, the initial announcement was made to complete a retracement of the confirmation of the position. Short-term retracement is over and gold prices are expected to extend the 1616-1786 rally.
U.S. crude oil maintained weakness, currently trading at $77.45 per barrel, with fears of supply disruptions easing on news that the Group of Seven (G7) is considering setting a price ceiling for Russian oil above current market levels.
Moreover, economic data from Europe and the United States showed a higher risk of global recession and continued concerns about the Asian epidemic, dragging down demand outlook expectations. After Wednesday's oil price plunge, technical bearish signals have strengthened and oil prices face the risk of breaking down.
This trading day coincides with the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday, the U.S. stock market will be closed, the U.S. crude oil and gold markets will be closed early, the overall trading is expected to be limited, but still need to pay attention to the dovish Fed meeting minutes of further fermentation; in addition, need to pay attention to the geopolitical situation related news, pay attention to the emergency meeting of European energy ministers.
Mohicans Markets strategy is only for reference and not for investment advice. Please carefully read the statement at the end of the text. The following strategy will be updated at 15:00 on November 24, 2022 Beijing time.
Technical Analysis
CME Group options layout changes (February Futures Price):
1800 Bullish increased slightly, bearish unchanged, long target
1760-1770 Bullish increased sharply, bearish increased, long target and resistance
1750-1755 Bullish increased sharply, bearish decreased, support range
1720-1725 Bullish unchanged, bearish decreased sharply, support range
Order flow key point marking (Spot Price):
1773-1775 Limit resistance during the day
1766 Long-short boundary, key resistance
1753-1755 Neckline of Head & Shoulders Top in 4-hour K line
1743 US trading heavy point, support
1736 US trading heavy point, support
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on November 24. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
CME Group options layout changes:
22 Bullish increased, bearish unchanged, long target
21.75 Bullish increased slightly, bearish unchanged, resistance
21.2 Bullish increased, bearish increased, support and short target
21-21.1 Bullish unchanged, bearish increased, short target
Order flow key point marking (Spot Price):
22.05-22.25 Previous highs, medium term resistance
21.8 Key resistance
21.5-21.6 Retracement of support
21.33-35 Possible resistance-turned-support
21.1 Short-term support during the day
20.9 Intermediate suppor
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on November 24. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Change of CME Group's option layout (Futures price in January):
85 Bullish increased significantly, bearish increased slightly, and long target and resistance
83 Bullish increased significantly, bearish decreased slightly, long target
80 Bullish and bearish increased and large stock, short-term long target
77 Bullish increased significantly, bearish decreased, weak support
75 Bullish increased, bearish decreased significantly, but stock was large, support level
70 Bullish increased, bearish decreased significantly, but stock was large, support level
Order flow key point marking (January Futures Price):
84.5 Second resistance of the week
82-82.5 First resistance
80.7 Small M top neck line resistance
79-79.5 Trading heavy point, resistance zone
78 Trading heavy point, resistance level
77 Weak support after stepping back
75-75.3 Yesterday, rose to the low point+the low point in September, which is expected to form a daily double bottom, with strong support from the middle line
74-74.5 Bearish second target and intraday limit support, double bottom neckline in last November
70-72.5 Limit falling position
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on November 24. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time
Todays CME Group data:
1.06 Bullish increased slightly and stocks were large, bearish increased slightly. Bullish targets and also resistance
1.05 Bullish increased significantly but stocks were large, bearish increased, rebound target and resistance
1.045 Bullish increased, bearish increased, resistance
1.04-1.0425 Bullish sharply reduced, bearish sharply increased, and the target fell back
1.035 Bullish decreased, bearish decreased slightly, and support weakened
1.03 Bullish decreased and stocks were large, while bearish decreased slightly, with short target and support
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on November 24. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time
Todays CME Group data:
1.235 Bullish increased, bearish unchanged, next long target
1.225 Bullish increased, bearish unchanged, long target
1.215 Bullish slightly reduced, bearish unchanged, next resistance
1.21 Bullish increased and large stock, bearish unchanged, bullish strengthened
1.205 Bullish slightly decreased but the stock was large, while bearish slightly increased, with falling back target and support
1.20 Bullish decreased, bearish slightly increased, short target
1.195 Bullish slightly increased and stocks were large, bearish unchanged, and short target was also supported
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on November 24. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time
Statement|Disclaimer
Disclaimer: The information contained in this material is for general advice only. It does not take into account your investment goals, financial situation or special needs. We have made every effort to ensure the accuracy of the information as of the date of publication. MHMarkets makes no warranties or representations about this material. The examples in this material are for illustration only. To the extent permitted by law, MHMarkets and its employees shall not be liable for any loss or damage arising in any way, including negligence, from any information provided or omitted from this material. The features of MHMarkets products, including applicable fees and charges, are outlined in the product disclosure statements available on the MHMarkets website. Derivatives can be risky and losses can exceed your initial payment. MHMarkets recommends that you seek independent advice.
Mohicans Markets, (Abbreviation: MHMarkets or MHM, Chinese name: Maihui), Australian Financial Services License No. 001296777.
Spot gold weakened slightly during the Asian session on Thursday (April 6), hitting a two-day low of $2007.89 per ounce and now trading near $2014.15. A series of weak economic data has fueled fears of an impending recession in the US, giving safe-haven support to the dollar. And some dollar shorts took profits, and gold bulls also took profits ahead of Good Friday and the non-farm payrolls data, putting pressure on gold prices.
On Wednesday, as the less-than-expected March "ADP" data and non-manufacturing PMI data fueled market concerns about an economic slowdown and spurred bets that the Federal Reserve could slow interest rate hikes. Spot gold continued to brush a new high since March last year, which was the highest intraday to $2032.13 per ounce, and then retracted most of the day's gains, finally closing up 0.01% at $2020.82 per ounce; spot silver hovered around $25 during the day, finally closing down 0.21% at $2
Spot gold oscillated slightly lower during the Asian session on Tuesday (April 4) and is currently trading around $1980.13 per ounce. The dollar index rebounded mildly after a big drop overnight, putting pressure on gold prices. However, this week will see the non-farm payrolls report, there is no important economic data out on Tuesday, and the market wait-and-see sentiment is getting stronger.
On Monday, in OPEC + members unexpectedly cut production reignited market concerns about long-term inflation and sparked uncertainty about the Fed's response, the dollar index once up to the 103 mark, and then on a "vertical roller coaster", giving back all the gains of the day and once lost 102 mark, finally closed down 0.53% at 102.04; U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose and then fell, as data showed that the U.S. economy continues to slow, it fell sharply in the U.S. session, and once to a low