Abstract:On Wednesday, January 18, international gold prices fell slightly for the third consecutive session, with the short term expected to dip to $1898, but expectations of a slower pace of interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve limited the decline. The market is concerned about the upcoming U.S. PPI and retail sales data.
Market Overview
On Wednesday, January 18, international gold prices fell slightly for the third consecutive session, with the short term expected to dip to $1898, but expectations of a slower pace of interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve limited the decline. The market is concerned about the upcoming U.S. PPI and retail sales data.
Edward Meir, metals analyst at Marex, said: “Gold will rally around $1,900 in the near term. I don't think we will see any big swings and it will stay in neutral territory. The market focus will be on economic data. If the macro narrative continues with a tone of cooling inflation and falling interest rates, then it will be positive for gold.”
Investors will pay close attention to the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) and retail sales data to be released later in the day. Both are expected to support a further slowdown in the pace of interest rate hikes by the Fed, which may raise rates by 25 basis points on February 1. After four consecutive sharp rate hikes of 75 basis points, the Fed slowed the pace of rate hikes to 50 basis points in December last year.
Mohicans Markets strategy is only for reference and not for investment advice. Please carefully read the statement at the end of the text. The following strategy will be updated at 15:00 on January 18th, 2023, Beijing time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1883-1911-1929
Overall Oscillation Range: 1730-1756-1780-1801-1817-1833-1856-1883-1911-1929-1937
In the subsequent period of spot gold, 1883-1911-1929 can be operated as the bull and bear range; High throw low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15 on 18th Jan. It is the daytime policy. Please pay attention to the release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 23.1-23.9-24.5-25.3
Overall Oscillation Range: 20.6-21.5-22.3-23.1-23.9-24.5-25.3-26.1
In the subsequent period of spot silver, 23.1-23.9-24.5-25.3 can be operated as the bull and bear range; High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15 on 18th Jan. It is the daytime policy. Please pay attention to the release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 77.3-78.5-79.9-80.7-82.3
Overall Oscillation Range:
70.1-71.2-72.3-73.1-73.8-75.1-77.3-78.5-79.9-80.7-82.3-83.5
In the subsequent period of US crude oil, 77.3-78.5-79.9-80.7-82.3 can be operated as the bull and bear range; High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15 on 18th Jan. It is the daytime policy. Please pay attention to the release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1.0690-1.0755-1.0830-1.0910
Overall Oscillation Range: 1.0290-1.0360-1.0460-1.0570-1.0690-1.0755-1.0830-1.0910-1.1060
In the subsequent period of EURUSD, 1.0690-1.0755-1.0830-1.0910 can be operated as the bull and bear range; High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15 on 18th Jan. It is the daytime policy. Please pay attention to the release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1.1920-1.2030-1.2135-1.2250-1.2375
Overall Oscillation Range:
1.1610-1.1830-1.1920-1.2030-1.2135-1.2250-1.2375-1.2400-1.2470
In the subsequent period of GBPUSD, 1.1920-1.2030-1.2135-1.2250-1.2375 can be operated as the bull and bear range; High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15 on 18th Jan. It is the daytime policy. Please pay attention to the release time.
Spot gold weakened slightly during the Asian session on Thursday (April 6), hitting a two-day low of $2007.89 per ounce and now trading near $2014.15. A series of weak economic data has fueled fears of an impending recession in the US, giving safe-haven support to the dollar. And some dollar shorts took profits, and gold bulls also took profits ahead of Good Friday and the non-farm payrolls data, putting pressure on gold prices.
On Wednesday, as the less-than-expected March "ADP" data and non-manufacturing PMI data fueled market concerns about an economic slowdown and spurred bets that the Federal Reserve could slow interest rate hikes. Spot gold continued to brush a new high since March last year, which was the highest intraday to $2032.13 per ounce, and then retracted most of the day's gains, finally closing up 0.01% at $2020.82 per ounce; spot silver hovered around $25 during the day, finally closing down 0.21% at $2
Spot gold oscillated slightly lower during the Asian session on Tuesday (April 4) and is currently trading around $1980.13 per ounce. The dollar index rebounded mildly after a big drop overnight, putting pressure on gold prices. However, this week will see the non-farm payrolls report, there is no important economic data out on Tuesday, and the market wait-and-see sentiment is getting stronger.
On Monday, in OPEC + members unexpectedly cut production reignited market concerns about long-term inflation and sparked uncertainty about the Fed's response, the dollar index once up to the 103 mark, and then on a "vertical roller coaster", giving back all the gains of the day and once lost 102 mark, finally closed down 0.53% at 102.04; U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose and then fell, as data showed that the U.S. economy continues to slow, it fell sharply in the U.S. session, and once to a low