Abstract:On Thursday (February 2), during the Asian session, the spot gold fluctuated at a high level, is trading near 1953 US dollars per ounce at present. Fed Chairman Powell made a slightly dovish speech, which made the US dollar continue to weaken and provided support for the gold price. The market's attention turned to the NFP report to be released on Friday. The market expectation is neutral and weak, slightly biased towards gold bulls.
Market Overview
On Thursday (February 2), during the Asian session, the spot gold fluctuated at a high level, is trading near 1953 US dollars per ounce at present. Fed Chairman Powell made a slightly dovish speech, which made the US dollar continue to weaken and provided support for the gold price. The market's attention turned to the NFP report to be released on Friday. The market expectation is neutral and weak, slightly biased towards gold bulls.
US crude oil was trading around $76.92 per barrel; Oil prices fell nearly 3% on Wednesday. US government data showed that inventories of crude oil, gasoline and distillate oil increased significantly, while OPEC+maintained its production policy unchanged.
This trading day will also usher in the interest rate decisions of the BOE and the ECB, and the market is generally expected to raise the interest rate by 50 basis points respectively. On the one hand, this will increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, which may limit the rising space of gold price in the medium and long term, but on the other hand, the US dollar index may decline further in turn, which is expected to provide further momentum for gold price in the short term.
In terms of data, this trading day will also usher in changes in the number of initial jobless claims in the United States, the number of layoffs in challenger enterprises in the United States in January, and the monthly rate of factory orders in the United States in December. Investors also need to pay attention. At present, the market is optimistic about the monthly rate of US factory orders in December, which may provide some support for the US dollar.
The Mohicans Markets strategy is for reference only and not for investment advice. Please read the statement clauses at the end of the text carefully. The following strategy was updated at 15:00 Beijing time on February 2, 2023.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1929-1937-1951-1978
Overall Oscillation Range: 1730-1756-1780-1801-1817-1833-1856-1883-1903-1911-1929-1937-1951-1978-1985
In the subsequent period of spot gold, 1929-1937-1951-1978 can be operated as the bull and bear range; High throw low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 2. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 22.3-23.1-23.9-24.5-25.3
Overall Oscillation Range: 20.6-21.5-22.3-23.1-23.9-24.5-25.3-26.1
In the subsequent period of spot silver, 22.3-23.1-23.9-24.5-25.3 can be operated as the bull and bear range; High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 2. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 75.1-77.9-78.5-79.9-80.70
Overall Oscillation Range: 70.1-71.2-72.3-73.1-73.8-75.1-77.3-78.5-79.9-80.7-82.3-83.5-85.3
In the subsequent period of US crude oil, 75.1-77.9-78.5-79.9-80.70 can be operated as the bull and bear range; High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 2. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1.0755-1.0830-1.0950-1.1157-1.1220
Overall Oscillation Range: 1.0290-1.0360-1.0460-1.0570-1.0690-1.0755-1.0830-1.0950-1.1157-1.1220-1.1303
In the subsequent period of EURUSD, 1.0755-1.0830-1.0950-1.1157-1.1220 can be operated as the bull and bear range; High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 2. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1.2030-1.2135-1.2250-1.2375-1.2400-1.2470
Overall Oscillation Range: 1.1610-1.1830-1.1920-1.2030-1.2135-1.2250-1.2375-1.2400-1.2470-1.2550
In the subsequent period of GBPUSD, 1.2030-1.2135-1.2250-1.2375-1.2400-1.2470 can be operated as the bull and bear range; High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 2. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Spot gold weakened slightly during the Asian session on Thursday (April 6), hitting a two-day low of $2007.89 per ounce and now trading near $2014.15. A series of weak economic data has fueled fears of an impending recession in the US, giving safe-haven support to the dollar. And some dollar shorts took profits, and gold bulls also took profits ahead of Good Friday and the non-farm payrolls data, putting pressure on gold prices.
On Wednesday, as the less-than-expected March "ADP" data and non-manufacturing PMI data fueled market concerns about an economic slowdown and spurred bets that the Federal Reserve could slow interest rate hikes. Spot gold continued to brush a new high since March last year, which was the highest intraday to $2032.13 per ounce, and then retracted most of the day's gains, finally closing up 0.01% at $2020.82 per ounce; spot silver hovered around $25 during the day, finally closing down 0.21% at $2
Spot gold oscillated slightly lower during the Asian session on Tuesday (April 4) and is currently trading around $1980.13 per ounce. The dollar index rebounded mildly after a big drop overnight, putting pressure on gold prices. However, this week will see the non-farm payrolls report, there is no important economic data out on Tuesday, and the market wait-and-see sentiment is getting stronger.
On Monday, in OPEC + members unexpectedly cut production reignited market concerns about long-term inflation and sparked uncertainty about the Fed's response, the dollar index once up to the 103 mark, and then on a "vertical roller coaster", giving back all the gains of the day and once lost 102 mark, finally closed down 0.53% at 102.04; U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose and then fell, as data showed that the U.S. economy continues to slow, it fell sharply in the U.S. session, and once to a low