Abstract:On Thursday, February 23, during the Asian session, spot gold rose slightly, and is currently trading at around $1828.10 per ounce. Although there were some bargain-hunting and short term profit taking and gold rallied modestly in the short term, the market reinforced expectations for higher terminal rates after the Fed minutes. The Federal Reserve officials also reiterated that they would further raise interest rates to control inflation, and the dollar remained near the high of nearly a month
Market Overview
On Thursday, February 23, during the Asian session, spot gold rose slightly, and is currently trading at around $1828.10 per ounce. Although there were some bargain-hunting and short term profit taking and gold rallied modestly in the short term, the market reinforced expectations for higher terminal rates after the Fed minutes. The Federal Reserve officials also reiterated that they would further raise interest rates to control inflation, and the dollar remained near the high of nearly a month and a half, which made the gold price face further downside risks.
The session will focus on the U.S. jobless claims and fourth-quarter GDP revisions, as well as changes in market expectations for the U.S. January PCE data due on Friday, and geopolitical news.
The low level of US crude oil fluctuated in a narrow range, and the current trading price is around $74.08 per barrel; After the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting overnight, the market worried that the expectation of the Federal Reserve and global central banks to increase interest rates more aggressively increased. Investors are worried that this will weigh on economic growth and fuel demand, and the continued rise of the US dollar will also put pressure on oil prices.
In addition, a large-scale snowstorm in the northern plains of the United States and the upper Midwest also hit the demand for fuel. So far, 3500 flights in the United States have been delayed or canceled.
In addition, API data showed that US crude oil inventory surged 9.9 million barrels last week. This also suggests that US demand is sluggish.
Although Morgan Stanley raised its oil demand growth forecast this year by about 36%, its analysts also lowered their oil price forecast because the supply from Russia was more than expected, which made the shortage in the second half of the year slightly lower than previously assumed.
The technical signals are also still biased towards short positions, and it is expected that the oil price will still tend to fluctuate downward in the future.
Mohicans Markets strategy is only for reference and not for investment advice. Please carefully read the statement at the end of the text. The following strategy will be updated at 15:00 on February 23, 2023, Beijing time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1801-1817-1833-1856-1873
Overall Oscillation Range: 1730-1756-1780-1801-1817-1833-1856-1873-1889-1903-1911-1929-1937-1951-1978-1985
In the subsequent period of spot gold, 1801-1817-1833-1856-1873 can be operated as the bull and bear range; High throw low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 23. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 20.6-21.5-22.3-23.1
Overall Oscillation Range: 19.7-20.6-21.5-22.3-23.1-23.9-24.5-25.3-26.1
In the subsequent period of spot silver, 20.6-21.5-22.3-23.1 can be operated as the bull and bear range. High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 23. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 73.1-73.8-75.1-77.9
Overall Oscillation Range: 70.1-71.2-72.3-73.1-73.8-75.1-77.9-78.5-79.9-80.7-82.3-83.5-85.3
In the subsequent period of US crude oil, 73.1-73.8-75.1-77.9 can be operated as the bull and bear range. High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 23 This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1.0570-1.0690-1.0755-1.0830-1.0950
Overall Oscillation Range: 1.0290-1.0360-1.0460-1.0570-1.0690-1.0755-1.0830-1.0950-1.1157-1.1220-1.1303
In the subsequent period of EURUSD, 1.0570-1.0690-1.0755-1.0830-1.0950 can be operated as the bull and bear range. High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 23. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1.1830-1.1920-1.2030-1.2135-1.2250
Overall Oscillation Range: 1.1610-1.1830-1.1920-1.2030-1.2135-1.2250-1.2375-1.2400-1.2470-1.2550
In the subsequent period of GBPUSD, 1.1830-1.1920-1.2030-1.2135-1.2250 can be operated as the bull and bear range. High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on February 23. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Spot gold weakened slightly during the Asian session on Thursday (April 6), hitting a two-day low of $2007.89 per ounce and now trading near $2014.15. A series of weak economic data has fueled fears of an impending recession in the US, giving safe-haven support to the dollar. And some dollar shorts took profits, and gold bulls also took profits ahead of Good Friday and the non-farm payrolls data, putting pressure on gold prices.
On Wednesday, as the less-than-expected March "ADP" data and non-manufacturing PMI data fueled market concerns about an economic slowdown and spurred bets that the Federal Reserve could slow interest rate hikes. Spot gold continued to brush a new high since March last year, which was the highest intraday to $2032.13 per ounce, and then retracted most of the day's gains, finally closing up 0.01% at $2020.82 per ounce; spot silver hovered around $25 during the day, finally closing down 0.21% at $2
Spot gold oscillated slightly lower during the Asian session on Tuesday (April 4) and is currently trading around $1980.13 per ounce. The dollar index rebounded mildly after a big drop overnight, putting pressure on gold prices. However, this week will see the non-farm payrolls report, there is no important economic data out on Tuesday, and the market wait-and-see sentiment is getting stronger.
On Monday, in OPEC + members unexpectedly cut production reignited market concerns about long-term inflation and sparked uncertainty about the Fed's response, the dollar index once up to the 103 mark, and then on a "vertical roller coaster", giving back all the gains of the day and once lost 102 mark, finally closed down 0.53% at 102.04; U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose and then fell, as data showed that the U.S. economy continues to slow, it fell sharply in the U.S. session, and once to a low