Abstract:The value of Gold encountered opposition approaching the $1,950 area compared to the US Dollar. Its valuation reached a high close to $1,952 before embarking on a downward adjustment recently.
Key Highlights
• Gold price struggled near $1,950 and corrected lower.
• It traded below a declining channel with support near $1,932 on the 4-hour chart.
• Crude oil prices surged further higher above the $87.00 level.
• The US ISM Services Index could decline marginally from 52.7 to 52.6 in August 2023.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
The value of Gold encountered opposition approaching the $1,950 area compared to the US Dollar. Its valuation reached a high close to $1,952 before embarking on a downward adjustment recently.
The 4-hour chart of XAU/USD indicates that the price declined below the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,884 swing low to the $1,952 high. Besides, the price traded below a declining channel with support near $1,932.
There was also a close below the 200 Simple Moving Average (green, 4 hours). If the price continues to move down, it could test the $1,920 support.
The 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,884 swing low to the $1,952 high is also near $1,920. The main support could be $1,915 and the 100 Simple Moving Average (red, 4 hours).
If the bulls fail to protect the $1,915 support, there is a risk of a major decline. In the stated case, the price could decline toward the $1,885 level.
Current resistance stands in proximity to the $1,935 region. Following this, substantial resistance is predicted close to the $1,940 marker, exceeding which gold might potentially revisit the crucial $1,950 resistance area.
With regard to crude oil prices, a consistent rising trend was observed, with prices even surpassing the $87.00 resistance area.
The Japanese yen failed to create a miracle in 2024, continuing its four-year decline against the US dollar. Does the yen still retain its safe-haven properties? Will the interest rate differential between the US and Japan narrow?
As of the writing of this article (January 2), oil prices stand at $71.88 per barrel. Investors need to continue monitoring whether the supply and demand dynamics will continue to push prices further up.
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