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MHMarkets:Fed's Balkin stated that this is not a great time to provide forward guidance on interest rates.

MH Markets | 2023-11-21 18:56

Sommario:At the end of the Asian market on Tuesday (November 21), according to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in the 5.25%-5.50% range in December is 99.8%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 0.2%.

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At the end of the Asian market on Tuesday (November 21), according to CME's “Fed Watch”, the probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates unchanged in the 5.25%-5.50% range in December is 99.8%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 0.2%. The Fed's Barkin stated that this is not a great time to provide forward guidance on interest rates. In terms of FOMC's interest rate policy actions, it is more focused on US inflation. Overall, there has been a welcome decline in core inflation data. Maintaining higher policy interest rates for a longer period of time will depend on changes in the US economic situation. The goal of FOMC remains to achieve full employment and price stability, with a focus on reducing the inflation target of 2% in the US. The US dollar index continued to decline yesterday, closing near the intraday low. At the opening of the Asian market today, the US dollar index continued to decline, temporarily hindered near 103.18 below, and the current price is around 103.34. Gold has continued to rise in recent times due to expectations of the Fed's policies. Yesterday, the price fell first and then rose, and closed above the intraday median. At the opening of the Asian market today, gold had strong upward momentum, with the current price around 1990.65. According to data from CME, the positions of oil options market traders indicate that the likelihood of OPEC+ deciding to further reduce production at the upcoming meeting is over 53%, while the likelihood of maintaining the existing production reduction plan is about 40%. OPEC leader Saudi Arabia will extend the agreement to reduce production by 1 million barrels per day until early next year, helping to support the plummeting crude oil prices earlier this month. Prior to the OPEC meeting on November 26, speculation will remain widespread about whether Saudi Arabia and its allies will choose to further reduce production. Crude oil has recently experienced a significant decline in prices due to data from oil producing countries. Recently, the price has rebounded, breaking above the previous day's high yesterday and ultimately closing near the intraday high. US crude oil fell at the opening of the Asian market today, with the current price around 77.26. EURUSD continued to rise yesterday and broke through multiple resistance levels continuously, ultimately closing near the intraday high. Today, when the Asian market opened, EURUSD continued to rise, with a current price around 1.0954. USDJPY has been affected by fundamental expectations recently, and its price has continued to plummet. Yesterday, it broke through multiple support levels and ultimately closed near the intraday low. At the opening of the Asian market today, USDJPY continued its previous trend and continued to decline, with the current price around 147.72.

MHMarkets strategy is only for reference and not for investment advice. Please carefully read the statement at the end of the text. The following strategy will be updated at 15:00 on November 21, Beijing time.

Gold XAUUSD·

Resistance

1993.47 – 2004 – 2008.29

Support

1985.14 – 1976.73 – 1965.61

image.png

The above figure shows the 30 minute chart of   gold. The chart shows that the recent upward resistance of gold has been   around 1993.47-2004-2008.29, and the downward support has been around 1985.14-1976.73-1965.61.   The market will be judged by whether to break through the upper and lower   support and resistance.

Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on November 21. This policy is a daytime   policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.

Crude Oil USOUSD·

Resistance

78.69 – 79.64 – 81.99

Support

76.21 – 73.64 – 72.37

image.png

The above chart shows the 30 minute chart of US   crude oil. The chart shows that the recent upward resistance of US crude oil   is around 78.69-79.64-81.99, and the downward support is around 76.21-73.64-72.37.   The market will be judged by whether to break through the upper and lower   support and resistance.

Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on November 21. This policy is a daytime   policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.

EURUSD·

Resistance

1.0960 - 1.0984 - 1.1006

Support

1.0935 - 1.0912 - 1.0897

image.png

The above figure shows the 30 minute chart of EURUSD.   The chart shows that the recent upward resistance of EURUSD is around 1.0960-1.0984-1.1006,   and the downward support is around 1.0935-1.0912-1.0897. The market will be   judged by whether to break through the upper and lower support and   resistance.

Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on November 21. This policy is a daytime   policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.

 GBPUSD·

Resistance

1.2549 – 1.2589 – 1.2629

Support

1.2493 - 1.2461 – 1.2404

image.png

The above figure shows the 30 minute chart of GBPUSD.   The chart shows that the recent upward resistance of GBPUSD is around 1.2549-1.2589-1.2629,   and the downward support is around 1.2493-1.2461-1.2404. The market will be   judged by whether to break through the upper and lower support and   resistance.

Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on November 21. This policy is a daytime   policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.

尾图
MHMarkets Precious Metal Crude oil Foreign Exchange Fundamentals Overview Techinical Level CPI

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5-10 anni | Regolamentato in Australia | Esecuzione Forex (STP) | Etichetta principale MT4
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