On Wednesday (June 12th), due to lower than expected US May CPI data, the US dollar index plummeted significantly.
the U.S. CPI came in lower than market consensus, indicating easing inflation and boosting risk appetite.
The USD/JPY pair is predicted to increase based on both fundamental and technical analyses. Fundamental factors include a potential easing of aggressive bond buying by the Bank of Japan (BoJ), which could lead to yen depreciation. Technical indicators suggest a continuing uptrend, with the possibility of a correction once the price reaches the 157.7 to 160 range.
Market Review | June 13, 2024
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Ahead of Wednesday's dual risks event of 'CPI + Fed,' traders are reducing their bets on a rise in U.S. Treasuries. Market data indicates the Fed may maintain high rates for a longer period, contrary to the previous expectation of an easing cycle. Since the release of non-farm payroll data last Friday, open interest in 10-year Treasury futures has decreased by about 80,000 contracts, reflecting traders unwinding bullish bets.
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The dollar index steadied in the last session, trading above the $105 mark, ahead of the highly anticipated FOMC meeting minutes. Market expectations are leaning towards a more hawkish stance from the U.S. central bank due to a tight labour market. Analysts predict that the Fed is likely to implement two 25 bps rate cuts toward the end of the year, contingent on further evidence that inflation is slowing.
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The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, which could support the US dollar and pressure gold prices if a hawkish stance is taken. Gold prices continue to decline after breaking an upward wedge pattern, with a key support level at $2250. The 14-day RSI indicates further potential decline unless prices recover above the 50-day and 21-day moving averages.
Market Review | June 12, 2024
Market Review | June 12, 2024
Market Review | June 12, 2024
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York's May consumer survey reveals that American households' optimism about the stock market has reached a three-year high, with the probability of stock prices rising in the next year expected to be 40.5%.
In response to increasing investor demand for more cost-effective trading solutions, FP Markets, a global multi-asset Forex and CFD broker, has further reduced its spreads across various trading instruments.
EBC Financial Group (UK) Ltd CEO David Barrett explores factors driving major investors to Chinese markets, offering his outlook on future growth.
EBC Financial Group, in collaboration with Elite Trader Club, has launched a CSR initiative aimed at repairing mosque facilities and supporting 75 orphans at the Nurul Ibad Child Welfare Institution in Banten, Indonesia. The program also aims to raise awareness about the critical need for educational support for orphans, emphasizing a commitment to social and environmental betterment.
On Monday (June 10th), due to recent strong US economic data, the US dollar index rebounded slightly.
EBC Financial Group mobilizes swiftly to support Hualien communities with essential aid and rebuilding initiatives.
The dollar index is poised at its recent high level, while U.S. equity markets eked out marginal gains as the market awaits Wednesday’s crucial CPI reading and the FOMC meeting minutes.