業界

AUS200 H1 Report - 22 July 2024

On Friday, the Australian stock market opened with a sharp decline, led by the mining sector as base metal prices plummeted following a strengthening of the US dollar. By midday, the mining sector index had plunged nearly 2% due to the falling prices of metals, particularly gold, copper, and tin. Among the three major iron ore stocks, BHP dropped 1.9% by midday, Fortescue Metals (FMG) fell by 2.1%, and Rio Tinto decreased by 1.8%. This was largely due to gold prices significantly retreating from Wednesday’s historic highs. In the local major gold mining stocks, Northern Star (NST) was down 2.0% by midday, and Evolution Mining (EVN) fell by 3.8%. The four major banks also traded lower by midday. ANZ dropped sharply by 2.1%, while Westpac (WBC) and National Australia Bank (NAB) both declined by 1.5%. Commonwealth Bank (CBA) was down 1.2%. Real estate stocks faced heavy selling pressure as well, with the sector index down 1.3% by midday. Industrial and logistics property giant Goodman Group (GMG) fell by 0.8%, property developer Dexus (DXS) plunged by 2.4%, and office property group Charter Hall Group (CHC) dropped by 2.1%. Technical Analysis: After reaching new historical highs over the past two weeks, the Australian stock index has retraced over 60% of its gains. The current price has returned to mid-May highs, having stayed above the 8000-point mark for just five trading days before declining back to 7900 points. Close attention should be paid to the support levels at 7900 and 7890. Key Levels: Resistance: First level at 7930, second level at 7950, third level at 7980. Support: First level at 7900, second level at 7890, third level at 7850.

2024-07-22 11:21

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応答

業界8月12日行情提醒

AUDUSD H1 澳联储利率决议后,澳联储主席两次公开发言都是极其鹰派的言论,根据目前的预测,今年降息可能性很小,同时也提到重点依然是通胀问题,并强调如有必要将毫不犹豫加息。ANZ和NAB两家银行的分析师认为澳联储可能会在明年的第一季度或之后才开始降息。本周将会有新西兰利率决议目前市场预期新西兰联储降息的预期超过70%,这意味着如果根据目前的市场预期新西兰本周降息,美联储9月降息,澳联储很可能成为最后降息的主要央行,在利差方面可能会给到澳元有一定的支撑。 技术面上,澳元在上周一的假突破后,价格快速拉回之前的震荡区间,并且在周四美国失业金领取数据公布后价格上破了之前维持10个交易日的震荡区间,周五时候尝试突破之前一直有提醒的0.660位置受阻回落,目前价格保持在先前区间上方。继续对0.660-0.656区间保持关注,目前在依然在做区间震荡,若上破0.660澳元可能有望继续回升。 上方一线阻力0.658,二线阻力0.660,三线阻力0.662. 下方一线支撑0.656,二线支撑0.654,三线支撑0.652.

FpgKelly vbaconjellyy

2024-08-12 09:34

業界MARKET UPDATE

Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida stated that the central bank would not raise interest rates during financial market instability. He emphasized that the BOJ's current monetary easing policies would remain due to recent market volatility. Uchida noted that a stronger yen and market fluctuations influence the BOJ's policy decisions, particularly regarding inflation and economic outlook​. The market reacted with a surge in dollar yen bumping it up to 147.5 recently. This looks to be a strong trend considering that rate hikes look to be unlikely following his comment, weakening the status of the yen. AUD is looking good at the moment after the decision yesterday to keep rates constant at 4.35%. More bullish movements were spotted today after the chinese trade balance looking positive. Why exactly is this good news? It is because Australia exports a lot of their goods to China and upon the positive outlook on Chinese imports, this will appreciate the AUD further. Gold looking to have a good entry point after a drop last night. With the imminent cut rates in September and looking into the political side of things, the Middle East tensions looks to be escalating, gold looks to rally..Putting these considerations in mind, a long position in gold looks to be more a strong option and with recent price drops, this could serve as a good entry position for gold

NathanWuBCR

2024-08-07 14:48

業界XAUUSD H1 Report - 22 July 2024 .

On Friday, gold plummeted from a high of 2445 to a low of 2393, a drop of over $50 and a daily decline of more than 2%. The low point aligns closely with the pre-attack low of 2391 on July 12, when former President Trump was attacked. The price retraced to its pre-attack level, erasing all gains from the past week. The US dollar index continued its rise, reaching 104.4, bolstered by recent remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, which reinforced market confidence in inflation returning to target levels. President Biden’s withdrawal from the election increased risk aversion, but the upcoming US GDP and PCE data releases this week could lead to significant volatility in gold prices. Technical Analysis: Gold's sharp decline has erased all gains from the previous week, forming a bearish pinbar with a long upper shadow on the weekly chart, suggesting a potential short-term top and the beginning of a bearish reversal. Friday's decline broke through several key support levels, temporarily stabilizing at the 2391 support platform, with a short-term rebound. Prices may return to the 2420-2400 range in the near term. Key Levels: Resistance: First level at 2410, second level at 2418, third level at 2430. Support: First level at 2400, second level at 2391, third level at 2380.

FpgKelly vbaconjellyy

2024-07-22 11:36

業界AUDUSD H4 Report - 22 July 2024

combined with selling pressure following a rebound in the yen, have dampened bullish sentiment on the Australian dollar (AUD). Although Australia's employment market data should have boosted the AUD, the market reaction has been subdued. Futures suggest only a 20% chance of an interest rate hike by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) at its August meeting. The data failed to provide upward momentum for the AUD. Additionally, the strong rebound of the US dollar (USD) on the day, which rose to 104.4, continued to exert downward pressure on the AUD. President Biden’s withdrawal from the election increased risk aversion, but the upcoming US GDP and PCE data releases this week could result in significant volatility for the AUD. Technical Analysis: The AUD’s decline last week wiped out the gains from the previous two weeks, closing near the high of the last week of June around 0.668, which serves as the second support platform from the past eight weeks of fluctuations. Close attention should be paid to the support level at 0.668. If this level is breached, the AUD may fluctuate within the 0.668-0.664 range. If the 0.668 support holds, the AUD may continue to trade within the 0.668-0.671 range. Key Levels: Resistance: First level at 0.670, second level at 0.671, third level at 0.673. Support: First level at 0.668, second level at 0.666, third level at 0.664.

FpgKelly vbaconjellyy

2024-07-22 11:35

業界AUS200 H1 Report - 22 July 2024

On Friday, the Australian stock market opened with a sharp decline, led by the mining sector as base metal prices plummeted following a strengthening of the US dollar. By midday, the mining sector index had plunged nearly 2% due to the falling prices of metals, particularly gold, copper, and tin. Among the three major iron ore stocks, BHP dropped 1.9% by midday, Fortescue Metals (FMG) fell by 2.1%, and Rio Tinto decreased by 1.8%. This was largely due to gold prices significantly retreating from Wednesday’s historic highs. In the local major gold mining stocks, Northern Star (NST) was down 2.0% by midday, and Evolution Mining (EVN) fell by 3.8%. The four major banks also traded lower by midday. ANZ dropped sharply by 2.1%, while Westpac (WBC) and National Australia Bank (NAB) both declined by 1.5%. Commonwealth Bank (CBA) was down 1.2%. Real estate stocks faced heavy selling pressure as well, with the sector index down 1.3% by midday. Industrial and logistics property giant Goodman Group (GMG) fell by 0.8%, property developer Dexus (DXS) plunged by 2.4%, and office property group Charter Hall Group (CHC) dropped by 2.1%. Technical Analysis: After reaching new historical highs over the past two weeks, the Australian stock index has retraced over 60% of its gains. The current price has returned to mid-May highs, having stayed above the 8000-point mark for just five trading days before declining back to 7900 points. Close attention should be paid to the support levels at 7900 and 7890. Key Levels: Resistance: First level at 7930, second level at 7950, third level at 7980. Support: First level at 7900, second level at 7890, third level at 7850.

FpgKelly vbaconjellyy

2024-07-22 11:21

業界What about oil?

Hedge funds made bearish bets on US oil as prices fell to their lowest level in more than seven weeks. Money managers' net long position in West Texas Intermediate fell 6,957 lots from 179,646 to 172,689 lots in the week through April 30, marking the third straight week of declines, according to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Hedge funds increased short oil bets by 9,705 lots to 78,141, reaching their highest level since January. Oil fell to its lowest level since mid-March this week as U.S. oil inventories rose more than expected and ceasefire talks between Israel and Hamas showed signs of progress 🕊. Meanwhile, persistent US inflation has forced the Federal Reserve to maintain higher interest rates, and the weakness of the US economy has led to lower demand for gasoline and diesel fuel. Hedge funds' net long position in global benchmark Brent crude rose after a big drop last week. But the main driver of real demand for these raw materials is only military conflicts.

FX2499067642

2024-05-07 18:38

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