欧洲央行鸽派发言引发欧元跳水，美元兑日元剑指155

欧洲央行(ECB)的新闻发布会表达了对未来通胀预测的信心，因为供应链冲击出现逆转。此外，最近的工资数据呈现积极态势，这意味着预计欧洲央行将开始放缓其紧缩的货币政策观点。 根据通胀前景和政策传导，预计将在6月份进行降息。

欧洲央行的降息通常以25个基点的步幅进行，今年预计总计将降息75个基点。 随着这一消息，EURUSD暴跌超过1.5%，价格跌破了1.0750的支撑位，如下图所示。价格看起来有可能回调并在1.0750处遇到阻力，然后进一步下跌，突破100 SMA（黑线）。

EURUSD 周线图

USDJPY图表显示了从极高点突破的强劲上涨势头，看起来有可能作为支撑位保持。如果价格在152的极高点附近找到支撑，我们很可能会看到价格很快测试155的水平。

USDJPY 周线图

英国国内生产总值(GDP)下降导致GBPUSD暴跌。英国GDP从上个月的0.3%下降到0.1%，导致英镑大幅贬值兑美元。 服务业产出增长了0.1%，而生产产出则是该月GDP增长的最大贡献者，增长了1.1%。然而，建筑产出大幅下降，对整体GDP产生了较大影响。 消息发布后，GBPUSD迅速下跌，突破了1.2550的支撑位和上升趋势线。与EURUSD类似，GBPUSD价格看起来有可能回调并在1.2550处遇到阻力，该水平与先前的低点、前一次的低点收盘价以及上升趋势线相吻合。

GBPUSD 周线图

风险提示：

The information contained in this market commentary is of general nature only and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. You are strongly recommended to seek independent financial advice before making any investment decisions.

Trading margin forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Investors could experience losses in excess of total deposits. You do not have ownership of the underlying assets. AC Capital Market (V) Ltd is the product issuer and distributor. Please read and consider our Product Disclosure Statement and Terms and Conditions, and fully understand the risks involved before deciding to acquire any of the financial products provided by us.

The content of this market commentary is owned by AC Capital Market (V) Ltd. Any illegal reproduction of this content will result in immediate legal action.