尼日利亚
2025-08-17 06:01
业内WHAT ARE THE USE OF THESE THREE IN FUNDAMENTALS?
1. Previous
This is the last released data (from the previous period – last month, last quarter, or last report).
It serves as a reference point to compare whether the economy is improving or declining.
Example: If last month’s U.S. unemployment rate was 3.6%, that becomes the Previous.
2. Forecast
This is the expected figure, predicted by economists and analysts before the actual release.
It represents the market consensus (what traders are anticipating).
Price movements before the news often reflect traders’ positioning based on the forecast.
Example: For the current month, experts forecast unemployment to be 3.5%.
3. Actual
This is the real released data published at the news time.
It’s the most important value because it triggers volatility.
Traders compare Actual vs Forecast to determine market reaction.
🔑 How Traders Interpret It
If Actual > Forecast (in data that is good when higher, e.g., GDP, NFP, Retail Sales) → Currency often strengthens.
If Actual < Forecast → Currency often weakens.
If Actual = Forecast → Market may have little or no reaction, unless there’s a surprise detail in the report.
⚠️ Note: For some indicators like Unemployment Rate or Jobless Claims, lower values are better. So you flip the interpretation:
Lower than forecast = Positive for currency.
Higher than forecast = Negative for currency.
✅ Example: U.S. Non-Farm Payroll (NFP)
Previous: 209K
Forecast: 225K
Actual: 250K
👉 Since Actual (250K) > Forecast (225K) → USD usually strengthens because more jobs = stronger economy.
But if Actual < Forecast, USD would likely weaken.
🔎 In summary:
Previous = last report
Forecast = market expectation
Actual = real result → moves the market
#PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth#BrokerEvaluation##ExpertReview
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WHAT ARE THE USE OF THESE THREE IN FUNDAMENTALS?
1. Previous
This is the last released data (from the previous period – last month, last quarter, or last report).
It serves as a reference point to compare whether the economy is improving or declining.
Example: If last month’s U.S. unemployment rate was 3.6%, that becomes the Previous.
2. Forecast
This is the expected figure, predicted by economists and analysts before the actual release.
It represents the market consensus (what traders are anticipating).
Price movements before the news often reflect traders’ positioning based on the forecast.
Example: For the current month, experts forecast unemployment to be 3.5%.
3. Actual
This is the real released data published at the news time.
It’s the most important value because it triggers volatility.
Traders compare Actual vs Forecast to determine market reaction.
🔑 How Traders Interpret It
If Actual > Forecast (in data that is good when higher, e.g., GDP, NFP, Retail Sales) → Currency often strengthens.
If Actual < Forecast → Currency often weakens.
If Actual = Forecast → Market may have little or no reaction, unless there’s a surprise detail in the report.
⚠️ Note: For some indicators like Unemployment Rate or Jobless Claims, lower values are better. So you flip the interpretation:
Lower than forecast = Positive for currency.
Higher than forecast = Negative for currency.
✅ Example: U.S. Non-Farm Payroll (NFP)
Previous: 209K
Forecast: 225K
Actual: 250K
👉 Since Actual (250K) > Forecast (225K) → USD usually strengthens because more jobs = stronger economy.
But if Actual < Forecast, USD would likely weaken.
🔎 In summary:
Previous = last report
Forecast = market expectation
Actual = real result → moves the market
#PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth#BrokerEvaluation##ExpertReview
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