From a 4-hour perspective, the Bollinger Bands are trading in a narrow range, and the price has entered the upper edge of a triangle consolidation range, facing short-term resistance and the risk of a breakout or pullback. From a market perspective, the Ministry of Finance is slowing its bond issuance pace, and a window for liquidity to return may emerge in mid-October. Historical data shows an 83% probability of an October increase, with an average return exceeding 20%.