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Market Pulse: Today's Top Headlines

GFS | 2024-12-04 12:30

Zusammenfassung: Market Overview U.S. economic data released yesterday signaled continued resilience in the labor market. The JOLTS job openings report showed a robust 7.74 million openings, exceeding exp

Market Overview

U.S. economic data released yesterday signaled continued resilience in the labor market. The JOLTS job openings report showed a robust 7.74 million openings, exceeding expectations. This was complemented by the ISM Manufacturing PMI, which, while still below the 50 threshold, edged up to 48.4, reflecting a slowing contraction in the manufacturing sector.

Treasury yields reacted moderately on Tuesday as investors awaited further economic indicators. The 10-year yield ticked up 2 basis points to 4.23% as of 4 a.m. ET, while the 2-year yield declined by 1 basis point to 4.186%. These movements reflect market participants' cautious optimism about the strength of the U.S. economy.

In contrast, Australia reported disappointing GDP growth for Q3, coming in at 0.3%, below the expected 0.5%. This weaker-than-anticipated growth has fueled speculation about a possible rate cut in 2024, though the Reserve Bank of Australia remains hesitant, citing persistent inflationary pressures.

On the geopolitical front, tension in South Korea has weighed on market sentiment, with recent legislative pushback against martial law underscoring political instability. This comes as North Korea intensifies its involvement in global conflicts, raising regional security concerns.

Key stock indices presented mixed performances:

S&P 500: Slightly increased by 0.0451% to 6049.88, fluctuating between a low of 6033.39 and a high of 6052.07.

Dow Jones: Declined 0.1708% to 44705.53, with a trading range of 44574.78–44914.68.

NASDAQ: Advanced 0.3966% to 19480.91, maintaining strength throughout the session.

FTSE 100: Dropped marginally to 8358.26, remaining range-bound.

Nikkei 225: Closed at 39077.24, reflecting stability amidst minor fluctuations.

Commodities revealed mixed trends. Gold remains in consolidation as traders await further clarity on Federal Reserve rate cut probabilities, currently at 71% according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Meanwhile, silver showed bullish potential after surpassing a previous swing high, but technical indicators suggest the possibility of a pullback before continuing higher.

Currency Market Analysis

Currencies reflected varying global pressures:

The Dollar: Consolidated with bullish prospects as technical indicators hinted at upward momentum. The MACD and RSI indicate favorable buying opportunities, though the market awaits clearer signals.

The Aussie and Kiwi Dollars: Weakened amid disappointing GDP data and heightened geopolitical risks. The Reserve Bank of Australia remains cautious, while the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's earlier rate cuts continue to weigh on the Kiwi.

The Euro: Consolidated within a range, as traders await a breakout. The MACD suggests selling pressure, while the RSI signals waning bullish momentum.

The Yen: Strengthened initially, but a dollar recovery later in the session offset gains. Overbought RSI levels hint at a possible sell-off, while the MACD indicates a potential bullish reversal.

The Franc: Displayed bullish momentum, supported by strong RSI and MACD signals. Investors anticipate further gains if upward pressure persists.

The CAD: Showed weakness, but bullish signals emerged after a rebound in price action. MACD and RSI align with a continuation of buying momentum.

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