Today's Volatility Radar

Market Analysis

GOLD - GOLD prices have risen to significant levels, showing no signs of a slowdown. The gap from last weeks break was also a bullish run, though the move was not that great. The MACD continues to find increased bullish movement, while the RSI is suggesting a potential for a pullback to come in for the charts. We wait for more clues on how the day will go, depending on what the markets will show us today.

SILVER - There will be no apparent change in our readings for SILVER. We still view it as bullish and remaining under minimum levels until we see a clear shift in GOLD prices. For now, we retain looking for more bullish opportunities.

DXY - The dollar drops significantly over concerns about the FED‘s independence. If the FED’s independence is removed, there will be one less obstacle to control the economy away from the administration under Trump. While this will serve to further the unity of his administration to lead the U.S., it does not necessarily mean that it will progress in a manner that is for the betterment of the country. It will remove a leader that will have a second opinion and decision away from their team that has a different cause.

Over the weekend, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee warned that tariffs could cause US economic activity to “fall off” by summer.

While Washington has begun trade talks with several key partners—most notably Japan—there remains no sign of a breakthrough or direct negotiations with China.

We can see the MACD and the RSI picking up on the overall weakness of price, paired with the clean break under the support structure.

Other analysts also stated, There were some concerning signs last week that the Trump administration is looking for ways to fire Fed Chair Powell," MUFG Bank's Michael Wan said in a research report.

Jerome Powell made hawkish comments last week when he "focused more on making sure second-round effects from one-off price increases from tariffs do not result in persistently higher inflation expectations," the senior currency analyst said.

"While we think it is unlikely the Trump administration will be able to remove the Fed chair outright given the lack of legal authority, any moves on this front will likely create an outsized market move, including in FX, and is something to watch closely for," Wan said.

GBPUSD - The week started strongly for the Pound, rising beyond the previous consolidation area. We can see prices reaching for highs and breaking structures with ease. We can also see the MACD and the RSI appear very positively for the bullish movement continuation. We expect more buying in the coming days.

AUDUSD - The Aussie dollar starts strong but not enough to break through structure. While the momentum and strength are being shown with prices, there is still a resistance structure that needs to be cleared. The RSI is also suggesting a potential for a pullback before continuation, and the MACD is still showing consolidation. We wait for more price trading and a clearer breakthrough before anything, but we are overall bullish with this chart.

NZDUSD - The Kiwi is finding increased strength but is still not yet cleared of 0.59796. The RSI is also suggesting a pullback from this high, increasing the chances for a return before a continuation higher. Although the MACD does suggest continuation bullish while finding increased volume, we continue to look for more opportunities to buy.

EURUSD - The Euro prices have surged significantly as traders and analysts run for an alternative. We can see the Euro gain massive wins against the dollar as the dollar weakens. The MACD and the RSI continue to find increased volume and momentum for the buying in the market. We expect more bullish opportunities.

USDJPY - The Yen gains massive strength during the start of Monday, showing the MACD and the RSI have increased volume and momentum bearish. We expect further selling in the coming days and look for more bearish opportunities. The Yen will continue to be a more stable alternative to the dollar.

USDJPY - The Franc continues to act as a more stable alternative to the dollar, with prices crashing under the bottom boundary of the consolidation. We can see the MACD find increased selling volume, while the RSI is seeing normalization of the selling momentum. We anticipate more selling opportunities.

USDCAD - The CAD shows increased selling strength, with price action crashing under the support level. We can also see it break out of the consolidation zone. The RSI is showing normalization of the selling momentum, while the MACD is just about to find increased selling volume. We look for more selling opportunities as the overall price action suggests continuation.

COT Report Analysis

AUD - WEAK (3/5)

GBP - WEAK (3/5)

CAD - WEAK (2/5)

EUR - STRONG (5/5)

JPY - STRONG (5/5)

CHF - WEAK (4/5)

USD - STRONG (5/5)

NZD - WEAK (4/5)

GOLD - STRONG (5/5)

SILVER - STRONG (4/5)