Today's Breakout Watch

Market Analysis

GOLD

GOLD prices are consolidating, with prices bouncing off the bottom boundary of the structure. This comes after 3,260.22 was tested. The RSI also indicates increased bullish movement with strong momentum, while the MACD shows steady gains. Although we previously called a shift, prices quickly returned within their boundaries. Thus, we now call a consolidation. Unless prices revert to the lower boundaries and break relevant structures, we will refrain from calling a directional move. Strength in GOLD may have stemmed from a weaker dollar.

SILVER

SILVER prices are currently consolidated, with the market pricing in a squeeze. Price barriers and structural levels are pushing prices inward. We must wait to see how this situation unfolds. We will not make a call on price direction until a clearer break of structure occurs.

DXY

The Dollar is currently moving southward, showing increased potential for a continued sell-off. This follows our decision not to call a shift previously, as the price gap was too significant. We are currently observing increased bearish momentum and volume according to the RSI and MACD. We expect to see further selling in the coming days. However, we cannot be certain until a more detailed picture of the U.S. economy emerges. Currently, GDP figures are negative but better than expected, while unemployment has risen. The PCE data, expected later, will provide insights into how inflation has impacted prices. These factors have negatively impacted the Dollar, contributing to market losses. We expect further selling to continue but will monitor how prices develop.

GBPUSD

The Pound maintains its bullish structure, with prices bouncing off the EMA200 and the 1.34294 level. We anticipate a continued move higher, as the RSI indicates increased bullish momentum and the MACD reflects rising volume. We expect further buying to persist in the coming days with increased trading activity. Therefore, we will observe market developments to see how this progresses. However, we will continue to look for buying opportunities as long as the current market stance holds.

AUDUSD

The Australian Dollar has bounced off a relevant structural level and continues to respect its bullish continuation structure. The previously anticipated shift failed, and we are now looking for continuation buying. However, if prices fail to break above the EMA200, there is a significant chance they could turn sharply lower, breaking 0.64086 and shifting the overall price momentum. Until such a movement occurs, we will continue to look for buying opportunities. The MACD and RSI are also showing increased bullish volume and momentum with steady gains. However, it is important to note that this price area is prone to consolidation. Therefore, we might see the market extend its consolidation phase.

NZDUSD

The Kiwi is currently showing increased consolidation but is testing the EMA200 and has bounced off relevant structural levels, aligning with our overall expectations. The anticipated price shift failed, and it is now showing increased bullish potential, with the RSI and MACD reflecting this momentum and volume. If prices break above 0.59796, we expect further buying to continue in the coming days.

EURUSD

Although we previously called a downward shift for the Euro, similar to Gold, it quickly reversed from its low and experienced further buying back into the consolidation zone. It is currently consolidated, and both the MACD and RSI indicate increased bullish volume and momentum. If this current rise takes prices upward to break the existing structure, we will then call a bullish continuation. Until then, we will await a clear break of structure.

USDJPY

The Yen has gained against the Dollar following weak economic reports from the U.S. Currently, prices [USD/JPY] have shifted back to an overall selling momentum, having cleanly broken through the EMA200. We will now look for more bearish opportunities to sell this pair. The MACD and RSI are also showing increased selling volume and continued bearish momentum. These bearish gains are steady and consistent. We expect a continued move lower.

USDCHF

The Swiss Franc is consolidating after initial losses against the Dollar. Although it broke above the high at 0.83313, prices turned downward, reinforcing a bearish trend. The movement remains confined to established boundaries, primarily influenced by the U.S. Dollar's direction. A weakening Dollar would likely push USD/CHF lower, benefiting the Franc. MACD and RSI indicators show rising bearish volume and momentum.

USDCAD

The CAD is still testing the EMA200 and hasn't recovered from losses, despite a weaker U.S. Dollar. Theres weak bearish follow-through, and while the MACD shows high volume, price movement remains subdued. The RSI is nearing overbought levels, suggesting potential selling, which contrasts with MACD readings and creates market uncertainty. We need to await a breakout from the current zone for clearer direction.