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A Week in the Market: Prices and Demand (17-21 July)

RoboForex | 2023-07-18 11:42

Abstract:China will present a lot of statistics. It is already known that the GDP for the second quarter has surpassed the value for the first quarter and reached 6.4% against 4.5%. However, the indicator fell short of analysts' forecasts. For risky assets, this is a moderate signal.

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China: mixed data

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China will present a lot of statistics. It is already known that the GDP for the second quarter has surpassed the value for the first quarter and reached 6.4% against 4.5%. However, the indicator fell short of analysts' forecasts. For risky assets, this is a moderate signal.

EUR: strong position

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The Eurozone is to release the consumer confidence index for July and final data on inflation for June. In addition, President of the European Central Bank Christine Lagarde will deliver a speech; any signals in favour of the regulators tight monetary policy will provide support for EUR.

USD: weak position

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The US is to publish industrial production statistics for June; the indicators could have stabilised following the previous decline. The retail sales report for June will give insight into real consumer spending. The USD exchange rate will be in a weak position until the market shifts its focus from the Feds policy to other factors.

CAD: a chance for strengthening

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Canada is preparing to release data on inflation, producer prices and retail sales. The CAD rate might resume strengthening after a pause for consolidation.

GBP: ready to rise

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The UK will provide a lot of statistics from producer price indices for June to inflation data. The consumer price index is expected to fall from 8.7% to 8.2% y/y in June. However, core prices remain persistently high, which gives the Bank of England the opportunity to further raise the interest rate. This is good news for GBP.

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