加拿大零售数据引发USDCAD大跌，GBPUSD反转

加拿大零售销售大幅低于预期，USDCAD上升

加拿大的零售销售额为-0.8%，低于预期的-0.5%和之前的0.6%。同时，加拿大核心零售销售额（不包括波动性很大的行业）从预期的-0.5%下降到-1.3%。总体而言，九个子行业中有八个销售额下降，其中食品和饮料零售商领跌。其他主要下滑的贡献者包括酒类零售商（-3.3%）和建筑材料供应商（-2.7%）。在这一负面消息发布后，USDCAD大幅上涨，回落至以下图所示的上升和下降趋势线。价格可能会在上升趋势线和1.3750水平找到阻力。

USDCAD 周线图

EURCAD突破下降趋势线和之前的摆动高点至1.49。如果价格继续上涨，可能会在1.5枢轴区域遇到阻力，该区域之前曾见强劲阻力。

EURCAD 周线图

英国零售销售减少双倍于预期，GBPUSD迅速逆转

英国的零售销售下降至-1.2%，从2.9%下降。疲弱的结果主要受到百货商店和服装零售商销售量下降的影响。总体而言，与今年第一季度相比，2024年第二季度的销售额下降了0.1%。零售商认为，选举不确定性和恶劣天气是造成负面回报的主要原因。消息发布后，GBPUSD从1.3急剧逆转，可能很快测试之前的摆动高点约1.2850和200 SMA（蓝线）。然而，如果价格上涨，可能会在1.31枢轴附近遇到阻力，该枢轴在2023年7月曾见显著阻力。

GBPUSD 周线图

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