美元反弹，美国PCE通胀暗示软着陆在望

美国PCE指数推动美联储走向降息

美国核心PCE价格指数是美联储的主要通胀衡量指标，本月录得0.2%。这一结果意味着通胀正在减弱，预计将在明年达到2%的目标。尽管消费者支出仍然强劲，但收入增长依然疲软。美联储似乎有可能继续推进预测的9月降息计划，因为年同比结果为2.6%，略低于预测的2.7%。

消息公布后，欧元兑美元(EURUSD)从1.12关键区域大幅回落。如果价格进一步下跌，预计将在1.1关键区域找到支撑，该区域与两个上升趋势线重合。

欧元兑美元周线图

美元兑日元(USDJPY)突破了上升趋势线和145关键点位。自7月初以来，价格已大幅下跌，预计趋势将继续向141关键区域发展。

美元兑日元周线图

加拿大GDP下降，美元兑加元下跌放缓

加拿大GDP降至0%，低于预测的0.1%和上月的0.1%。尽管如此，加拿大经济在第二季度仍能实现2.1%的年增长率，高于加拿大央行预测的1.5%。然而，年增长率仍低于3%以上的人口增长率，因此人均增长继续下降。

发布数据后，美元兑加元(USDCAD)从1.3450关键点反弹，价格在下跌动能中有所缓解。我们在8月份看到非常强劲的抛售，因此价格可能会继续下跌至1.31关键区域，该区域与200日均线(蓝线)附近相吻合。

美元兑加元周线图

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