华尔街波动加剧，黄金买盘增加

贸易战升级，油价跌至四年新低

由于特朗普总统上周宣布加征关税，油价大幅下跌。

许多分析师预测2025年将出现经济衰退，高盛则预计布伦特原油和WTI原油的价格将在年底分别达到每桶62美元和58美元。虽然当前美国政府更倾向于油价下跌，但全球经济放缓的前景也势必引发他们的担忧。

在相关新闻公布后，美国原油价格自跌破下降趋势线和67美元关键位后继续快速下滑。尽管60美元关口可能提供短期支撑，但整体空头趋势预计仍将延续。

美国原油周线图

英国原油同样出现技术性突破，本周初价格曾回调，但再次受到下降趋势线的压制。预计价格将很快测试60美元关口，寻找潜在支撑。

英国原油周线图

衰退担忧升温，黄金仍是安全避风港

在当前经济放缓的背景下，越来越多投资者青睐黄金等避险资产。今年以来黄金表现强劲，突破3000美元大关，高盛预计到2025年底金价将达到每盎司3300美元。

黄金价格近期自本月初创下的历史新高略有回落，目前正在测试3000美元支撑区域。如果跌破3000，价格可能在下方上升趋势线处找到新的支撑。

XAUUSD 日线图

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