Abstract:At the end of the Asian market on Tuesday (December 19), several Fed officials stated on Monday that the market's bet on early interest rate cuts in 2024 was a bit ahead of schedule.
At the end of the Asian market on Tuesday (December 19), several Fed officials stated on Monday that the market's bet on early interest rate cuts in 2024 was a bit ahead of schedule. Although the market is very concerned, the next stage is not about when to lower interest rates. The US dollar index saw overall consolidation yesterday with relatively low market volatility, and investors are waiting for the latest inflation data to support their judgment. At the opening of the Asian market today, the US dollar index rose slightly and consolidated, with a current price around 102.53. Gold rebounded and rose overall yesterday, accelerating its rise during the US market period, but did not form an upward structure, and ultimately closed near the intraday median. At the beginning of the Asian market today, gold opened lower, with the current price around 2023.91. Due to the tense situation of the Suez Canal, global shipping is facing increased costs and restricted trade flows. US crude oil surged yesterday and broke through the resistance level formed before, ultimately closing near the intraday median. At the opening of the Asian market today, US crude oil fluctuated slightly, with the current price around 72.75. According to an earlier report by The Economist, although the Eurozone economy has been focused on the service sector for many years, the gradual contraction of industrial production indicates a trend of continuous economic decline. The industrial production data for Germany, the stronghold of the Eurozone industry, in October was negative, increasing the possibility of a contraction in the Eurozone's gross domestic product in the fourth quarter of this year and a sustained two quarter decline, which will confirm the trend of a technical recession in the Eurozone economy.EURUSD saw overall consolidation yesterday, with a slight fluctuation at the opening of the Asian market today. The current price is around 1.0923. This morning, the Bank of Japan announced its interest rate resolution, maintaining the benchmark interest rate at a historical low of -0.1% and the 10-year treasury bond bond yield target at around 0%, in line with market expectations. USDJPY rose rapidly in the short term after the data was released, but did not form an upward structure. The current quotation is around 143.57.
MHMarkets strategy is only for reference and not for investment advice. Please carefully read the statement at the end of the text. The following strategy will be updated at 15:00 on December 19, Beijing time.
Gold XAUUSD· | |
Resistance | 2038.59 – 2044.90 – 2048.16 |
Support | 2020.25 – 2015.48 – 2007.95 |
The above figure shows the 30 minute chart of gold. The chart shows that the recent upward resistance of gold has been around 2038.59-2044.90-2048.16, and the downward support has been around 2020.25-2015.48-2007.95. The market will be judged by whether to break through the upper and lower support and resistance. Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on December 19. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time. |
Crude Oil USOUSD· | |
Resistance | 74.81 – 76.76 – 77.47 |
Support | 70.97 – 70.61 – 69.78 |
The above chart shows the 30 minute chart of US crude oil. The chart shows that the recent upward resistance of US crude oil is around 74.81-76.76-77.47, and the downward support is around 70.97-70.61-69.78. The market will be judged by whether to break through the upper and lower support and resistance. Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on December 19. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time. |
EURUSD· | |
Resistance | 1.0969 - 1.1009 - 1.1044 |
Support | 1.0880 - 1.0847 - 1.0779 |
The above figure shows the 30 minute chart of EURUSD. The chart shows that the recent upward resistance of EURUSD is around 1.0969-1.1009-1.1044, and the downward support is around 1.0880-1.0847-1.0779. The market will be judged by whether to break through the upper and lower support and resistance. Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on December 19. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time. |
GBPUSD· | |
Resistance | 1.3672 – 1.2704 – 1.2716 |
Support | 1.2628 - 1.2611 – 1.2502 |
The above figure shows the 30 minute chart of GBPUSD. The chart shows that the recent upward resistance of GBPUSD is around 1.3672-1.2704-1.2716, and the downward support is around 1.2628-1.2611-1.2502. The market will be judged by whether to break through the upper and lower support and resistance. Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on December 19. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time. |
Fed Governor Christopher Waller's recent comments have highlighted a cautious stance towards adjusting interest rates, marking a significant moment for the financial markets.
In the forex market, stability was the theme for the U.S. dollar index, holding firm at 104.30. Minor fluctuations were observed across major currency pairs: the Euro slightly weakened against the dollar, closing at 1.0827
In the latest market wrap focusing on the foreign exchange sector, the U.S. dollar index showed minimal movement, holding at 104.31.
On Tuesday, due to February's US durable goods orders growth exceeding expectations and an optimistic economic growth outlook for the first quarter in the US, the US dollar index initially fell but then rose, briefly touching below the 104 mark before recovering during the US trading session, closing up 0.07% at 104.29.