Risk profile improves on Monday as US President Joe Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy agree on a compromised deal to avoid the US default. Even so, the agreement needs to pass through the House and the Senate to be the law, which in turn appears to challenge the risk-on mood amid holidays in multiple markets including the US.
Asian markets ended mixed, but mostly higher as investors across the region reacted to the news that President Biden and U.S. lawmakers struck a tentative deal to raise the debt ceiling in the U.S. The deal will be voted on later this week and if passed will allow the U.S. government to avoid a potentially catastrophic financial scenario.
Spot gold shocked lower during the Asian session on Tuesday (May 30), once hitting a new low of more than two months to $1,932.52 per ounce. Optimism over the U.S. debt ceiling deal and reduced market bets on the Federal Reserve to suspend interest rate hikes in June weakened gold's appeal.
On Monday, spot gold oscillated in a range of less than $10 due to low holiday liquidity and once approached the $1,950 mark during the day before finally closing down 0.01% at $1,943.6 per ounce. Spot silver also traded sideways, eventually closing down 0.64% at $23.14 per ounce.
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Markets turn dicey as traders await crucial events scheduled for late Friday and Sunday. The consolidation mode allows the US Dollar bulls to take a breather at a multi-day high, which in turn favors the Gold price to lick its wounds. On the same line, other commodities like crude oil and silver, join the Antipodeans to portray a corrective bounce.
EUR/USD is staying in consolidation above 1.0759 temporary low and intraday bias stays neutral. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.0903 resistance holds.
FX: USD traded to a two-month high. A lack of progress in talks over raising the US debt limit hurt investors’ appetite for risk taking. The 2-year yield printed a high last seen in March at 4.40% before closing near its low at 4.32%. It looks like a bearish “shooting star” candle printed on the day with yields sinking today. The 10-year yield hit a two-month high at 3.76% but settled on its low at 3.69%.
As gold prices continue to increase, investors wonder if they should boost their investment in the yellow metal in 2023. The pandemic and geopolitical tensions have caused economic uncertainty, leading to a surge in gold prices. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has even joined the gold-buying trend, purchasing 10 tonnes of gold in March 2023.
Gold price attempts a bounce as US Dollar pulls back alongside US Treasury bond yields. The price of the Gold is replicating the moves seen in Wednesday’s Asian trading, making headways for a minor recovery toward $2,000 early Thursday. The retreat in the United States Dollar (USD) and the US Treasury bond yields supports Gold price.
On Wednesday House Speaker Kevin McCarthy planned to send Republican negotiators to the White House to finish out debt limit talks, but warned that the two sides are “still far apart” as they try to reach a budget deal with President Joe Biden. This causes US equities traded lower yesterday because the negotiations over the debt ceiling continued to create uncertainty.
FOMC minutes turned out to be a non-event. Document largely echoed FOMC statement and Powell's presser. However, it included line that Fed staff is still projecting a mild recession as likely near the end of the year
FOMC minutes were released at 7:00 pm BST today. Document related to May 2-3, 2023 meeting during which Fed strongly hinted that it may pause its rate hike cycle. Minutes have mostly echoed FOMC statement and Powell's comments during press conference and did not include any major surprises.
Spot gold oscillated narrowly during the Asian session on Monday (May 29) and is currently trading near $1,946.45 per ounce.
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On Friday, spot gold rebounded after a new 2-month low. Before the U.S. session, gold prices retraced most of the day's gains due to the over-expected PCE data prompting traders to enhance expectations for another Fed rate hike, eventually closing up 0.31% at $1,946.33 per ounce
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