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MHMarkets:Yellen: Market expectations can be a policy complement to the Fed.

MH Markets | 2023-12-07 17:47

Abstract:At the end of the Asian market on Thursday (December 7), US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen stated on Wednesday that the bond market's expectations for the Fed's rate hikes or cuts may be a "beneficial supplement" to monetary policy, provided that participants are careful when interpreting the upcoming data.

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At the end of the Asian market on Thursday (December 7), US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen stated on Wednesday that the bond market's expectations for the Fed's rate hikes or cuts may be a “beneficial supplement” to monetary policy, provided that participants are careful when interpreting the upcoming data. From market quotes, investors expect the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates in March next year to exceed 50%. And it is expected that by the end of 2024, the Fed's benchmark interest rate will drop to around 4%, currently at 5.25% -5.5%, which means it will cut interest rates by over 100 basis points next year. The US dollar index continued to decline today, with prices continuing to rise yesterday and expected to close near the intraday high. At the opening of the Asian market today, the US dollar index fluctuated slightly, with a current price around 104.16. Gold has been affected by significant market fluctuations on Monday recently, with relatively small fluctuations in recent days. In addition, this Friday's release of US non-farm payroll data has suppressed the volatility of gold, and yesterday's overall gold fluctuated slightly. At the opening of the Asian market today, gold continued to fluctuate slightly, with the current price around 2026.76. According to data released by the US Energy Information Agency (EIA), as of the week ending December 1, US crude oil inventories decreased by 4.6 million barrels, but gasoline inventories increased by 5.4 million barrels, far exceeding market expectations. The market view is that the unexpected significant increase in US gasoline inventories has intensified market concerns about lagging demand. The crude oil price fell sharply yesterday and continuously broke through multiple support levels below, ultimately closing near the intraday low. At the opening of the Asian market today, US crude oil fluctuated slightly, with a current price around

69.87.EURUSD continued to decline yesterday and broke below the support below, ultimately closing near the intraday low. At the opening of the Asian market today, EURUSD fell below yesterday's low and is currently priced around 1.0764. Earlier today, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stated in parliament that the inflation data is far higher than the Bank of Japan's 2% target, but the inflation trend has not yet been anchored above that level. Therefore, the central bank needs to continue to maintain monetary easing policies, and it is still too early to conduct exit simulations. The Bank of Japan plans to provide information before exiting to achieve a smooth transition. USDJPY accelerated its downward trend at the opening today and continuously broke through multiple supports below, with a current price around 146.35.

MHMarkets strategy is only for reference and not for investment advice. Please carefully read the statement at the end of the text. The following strategy will be updated at 15:00 on December 7, Beijing time.

Gold XAUUSD·

Resistance

2039.66 – 2053.33 – 2076.42

Support

2011.15 – 2005.55 – 2001.79

image.png

The above figure shows the 30 minute chart of   gold. The chart shows that the recent upward resistance of gold has been   around 2039.66-2053.33-2076.42, and the downward support has been around 2011.15-2005.55-2001.79.   The market will be judged by whether to break through the upper and lower   support and resistance.

Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on December   7. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy   release time.

 Crude Oil USOUSD·

Resistance

72.73 – 74.24 – 74.81

Support

69.29 – 69 – 67.11

image.png

The above chart shows the 30 minute chart of US   crude oil. The chart shows that the recent upward resistance of US crude oil   is around 72.73-74.24-74.81, and the downward support is around 69.29-69-67.11.   The market will be judged by whether to break through the upper and lower   support and resistance.

Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on December   7. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy   release time.

EURUSD·

Resistance

1.0804 - 1.0847 - 1.0880

Support

1.0757 - 1.0701 - 1.0665

image.png

The above figure shows the 30 minute chart of EURUSD.   The chart shows that the recent upward resistance of EURUSD is around 1.0804-1.0847-1.0880,   and the downward support is around 1.0757-1.0701-1.0665. The market will be   judged by whether to break through the upper and lower support and   resistance.

Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on December   7. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy   release time.

 GBPUSD·

Resistance

1.2565 – 1.2613 – 1.2651

Support

1.2523 - 1.2503 – 1.2487

image.png
The above figure shows the 30 minute chart of GBPUSD.   The chart shows that the recent upward resistance of GBPUSD is around 1.2565-1.2613-1.2651,   and the downward support is around 1.2523-1.2503-1.2487. The market will be   judged by whether to break through the upper and lower support and   resistance.Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on December   7. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy   release time.
尾图
MHMarkets Precious Metal Crude oil Foreign Exchange Fundamentals Overview Techinical Level CPI

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MH Markets
Company name:Mohicans Markets (Ltd)
Score
7.07
Website:https://mhmarkets.com
2-5 years | Regulated in Australia | Regulated in United Arab Emirates | Straight Through Processing (STP)
Score
7.07

Read more

MHMarkets:2024.03.29 MHM European Time Analysis

Fed Governor Christopher Waller's recent comments have highlighted a cautious stance towards adjusting interest rates, marking a significant moment for the financial markets.

News 2024-03-29 20:48

MHMarkets:2024.03.28 MHM European Time Analysis

In the forex market, stability was the theme for the U.S. dollar index, holding firm at 104.30. Minor fluctuations were observed across major currency pairs: the Euro slightly weakened against the dollar, closing at 1.0827

News 2024-03-28 20:05

MHMarkets:2024.03.27 MHM European Time Analysis

In the latest market wrap focusing on the foreign exchange sector, the U.S. dollar index showed minimal movement, holding at 104.31.

News 2024-03-27 20:24

MHMarkets:March 27, 2024 Economic Highlights

On Tuesday, due to February's US durable goods orders growth exceeding expectations and an optimistic economic growth outlook for the first quarter in the US, the US dollar index initially fell but then rose, briefly touching below the 104 mark before recovering during the US trading session, closing up 0.07% at 104.29.

News 2024-03-27 20:16

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