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Dollar Dives and Metals Surge: Powell Investigation Sparks Institutional Crisis

WikiFX
| 2026-01-12 16:25

Abstract: The US Dollar faces a sharp selloff while Gold and Silver hit all-time highs as the Justice Department investigates Fed Chair Powell, compounding fears from weak payroll data. Markets are rattled by questions regarding Central Bank independence amid escalating political pressure.

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The US Dollar faced intense selling pressure on Monday, breaking below key technical levels against major peers, including a drop below 1.3900 in USD/CAD. The catalyst extends beyond economic data to a rare institutional shock involving the Federal Reserve.

Fed Independence Under Siege?

Reports confirmed that the US Justice Department has issued a subpoena to Fed Chair Jerome Powell regarding his Senate testimony from last June concerning a $2.5 billion renovation project. Powell acknowledged the threat of criminal charges, shaking the financial establishment which prizes Central Bank independence.

While President Trump denied direct involvement, he criticized Powell on NBC News, amplifying political pressure on the bank to lower interest rates.

Safe Haven Rotation: Gold and Silver at Record Highs

The combination of institutional instability and soft economic data has triggered a classic flight to safety, bypassing the Dollar.

  • Gold (XAU/USD) and Silver (XAG/USD) refreshed their all-time record highs during the Asian session.
  • Geopolitical angst involving Iran creates a 'perfect storm' for precious metals alongside Fed friction.
  • Economic Backdrop: The Tariff Drag

    The US labor market is showing significant strain, with economists like Moody's Mark Zandi pointing to aggressive tariff policies as a driver.

  • Recent NFP data revealed a meager addition of 50,000 jobs in December.
  • Manufacturing and logistics sectors have shed nearly 70,000 jobs.
  • Annual total reached a multi-decade low, providing a rationale for Fed rate cuts despite legal complexities.
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