Abstract:As the conflict in the Middle East intensifies, the military standoff between Iran and Israel has become a global macroeconomic Black Swan. Markets are critically monitoring energy infrastructure near the Strait of Hormuz.

As the conflict in the Middle East intensifies, the military standoff between Iran and Israel has become a global macroeconomic Black Swan. Markets are critically monitoring energy infrastructure near the Strait of Hormuz.
Global crude markets are experiencing a structural split. Brent and WTI benchmarks are surging, with regional spot prices like Dubai and Oman crude reaching $155/barrel. J.P. Morgan warns of significant upward re-pricing risks if the Strait of Hormuz is blocked.