Abstract:Dow Jones Falls 1%, S&P 500 Drops 1.3%, and Nasdaq 100 Slides 1.4%
Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities
On Wednesday, U.S. stocks sank as Treasury yields kept rallying. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 332 points (-0.98%) to 33,665, the S&P 500 dropped 58.60 points (-1.34%) to 4,314, and the Nasdaq 100 slid 212.75 points (-1.41%) to 14,909.
The U.S. 10-year Treasury Yield jumped by 7.2 basis points to 4.91%, the highest level since 2007.
Automobiles (-4.52%), transportation (-2.93%), and materials (-2.58%) stock sectors lost the most.
United Airlines (UAL) fell 9.67%, and JB Hunt Transport Services (JBHT) lost 8.85%, as both companies posted disappointing quarterly results.
Morgan Stanley (MS) declined 6.78%, as the investment bank's wealth management division posted weak third-quarter performance.
Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) sank 4.12% after warning on accounts growth.
On the other hand, Procter & Gamble (PG) rose 2.58%, and Abbott Laboratories (ABT) gained 3.71%, as both companies reported upbeat quarterly sales.
Albemarle Corp (ALB) slid 9.79%, and Sherwin Williams (SHW) lost 4.17%, as both stocks were downgraded to “underperform” at Bank of America.
In after-market hours, Tesla (TSLA) fell over 3% as the electric vehicle maker reported lower-than-expected third-quarter earnings and operating margin.
Netflix (NFLX) surged over 12%, as the video-streaming service provider posted robust growth in subscriber numbers.
Regarding U.S. economic data, the number of housing starts increased 7.0% on month in September (vs +9.1% expected), while the number of building permits was down 4.4% (vs -5.2% expected).
European stocks also closed lower, with the DAX 40 falling 1.03%, the CAC 40 dropping 0.91%, and the FTSE 100 declining 1.14%.
U.S. WTI crude futures gained $1.50 to $88.15 a barrel. The U.S. Department of Energy reported a reduction of 4.49 million barrels in crude-oil stockpiles (vs a reduction of 0.30 million barrels expected).
Gold price jumped $26.40 to $1,949 an ounce.
Market Wrap: Forex
The U.S. dollar strengthened against other major currencies, as Treasury yields rallied to multiyear highs. The dollar index rose to 106.56.
EUR/USD fell 41 pips to 1.0536.
USD/JPY added 10 pips to 149.91. This morning, Japan's data showed that exports grew 4.3% on year in September (vs +2.9% expected), while imports slid 16.3% (vs -11.0% expected).
GBP/USD dropped 42 pips to 1.2141. U.K. data showed that the inflation rate was steady at 6.7% on year in September (vs 6.5% expected).
AUD/USD slipped 29 pips to 0.6336.
USD/CHF declined 10 pips to 0.8990.
USD/CAD gained 64 pips to 1.3712. Canada's data showed that the number of housing starts increased to 270,500 units in September (vs 203,000 units expected).
Bitcoin retreated to $28,290.
Market Analysis Snapshot 📊
Dow Jones (CME) (Z3) Intraday: Downside Prevails
Pivot:33,880.00
Our Preference:Short positions below 33,880.00 with targets at 33,620.00 & 33,500.00 in extension.
Alternative Scenario:Above 33,880.00, look for further upside with 33,960.00 & 34,050.00 as targets.
Comment:RSI below 30 level indicating bearish momentum.
EUR/USD Intraday: Under Pressure
Pivot:1.0550
Our Preference:Short positions below 1.0550 with targets at 1.0520 & 1.0505 in extension.
Alternative Scenario:Above 1.0550, look for further upside with 1.0570 & 1.0590 as targets.
Comment:RSI below neutrality area at 50.
GBP/USD Intraday: Watch 1.2115
Pivot:1.2150
Our Preference:Short positions below 1.2150 with targets at 1.2115 & 1.2090 in extension.
Alternative Scenario:Above 1.2150, look for further upside with 1.2170 & 1.2190 as targets.
Comment:Break below 1.2115 triggers drop towards 1.2090.
USD/JPY Intraday: Bullish Bias Above 149.60
Pivot:149.60
Our Preference:Long positions above 149.60 with targets at 150.00 & 150.15 in extension.
Alternative Scenario:Below 149.60, look for further downside with 149.45 & 149.30 as targets.
Comment:Support base at 149.60; temporary stabilization observed.
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The Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthened against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, boosted by stronger-than-expected Q2 GDP growth in Japan, raising hopes for a BoJ rate hike. Despite this, the USD/JPY pair found support from higher US Treasury yields, though gains may be capped by expectations of a Fed rate cut in September.
The Japanese Yen rose 0.7% against the US Dollar after BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda hinted at potential rate hikes. This coincided with a recovery in Asian markets, aided by stronger Chinese stocks. With the July FOMC minutes already pointing to a September rate cut, the US Dollar might edge higher into the weekend.
The Australian Dollar (AUD) traded sideways against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, staying just below the seven-month high of 0.6798 reached on Monday. The downside for the AUD/USD pair is expected to be limited due to differing policy outlooks between the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the US Federal Reserve. The RBA Minutes indicated that a rate cut is unlikely soon, and Governor Michele Bullock affirmed the central bank's readiness to raise rates again if necessary to combat inflation.
This week's financial landscape is shaped by Kamala Harris’s record-breaking campaign fundraising, Walmart’s strategic exit from JD.com, and rising market anticipation of the Federal Reserve's rate decisions. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions and shifts in Asia's economic policies continue to impact global trade and investment flows. Key developments include strong South Korean exports, potential Canadian rail strikes, and the ongoing effects of inflationary pressures in Australia and Europe.